Thursday, May 23, 2019

Aladdin vs Brightburn vs Booksmart vs John Wick

A few new movies hit theaters this Memorial Day weekend.

Aladdin
Hit Factor: Live action remake of a classic Disney movie.
Flop Factor: People were off put by the CGI genie in the first trailer.



Brightburn
Hit Factor: produced by James Gunn.
Flop Factor: Early reviews (67% Tomatometer) aren't spectacular enough to shine in this crowded box office.



Booksmart
Hit Factor: 99% Tomatometer
Flop Factor: Needs strong word of mouth to find an audience in this crowded box office.




My Predictions:

Movie
Aladdin
John Wick 3
Avengers: Endgame
Pokémon: Detective Pikachu
Brightburn
Weekend Gross (millions)
$80
$25
$15
$13
$10



Sunday, May 19, 2019

John Wick 3 Takes Out Avengers: Endgame with $57 million Box Office Debut

Well, it looks like 3 weekends at the top of the box office was enough for Avengers: Endgame ($29.4 million), as John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum easily took the top spot ($57 million).  This marks the highest opening of the John Wick series.

Now, back to Avengers: Endgame.  It's $29.4 million propelled it pass Avatar ($760.5 million) on the all time domestic list, and just sit's a long way from the numero uno spot claimed by Star Wars: The Force Awakens ($936.7 million).  Despite a miracle, it will have a hard time beating The Force Awakens.  Internationally, Endgame has made $1.844 billion and $2.615 billion worldwide. The king of the box office, Avatar, sits at $2.788 billion. Hrmm...  this is gonna be a close one as Endgame is gonna need one big final push to get pass Avatar.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) John Wick - Parabellum
2) Avengers: Endgame 
3) Pokémon: Detective Pikachu 
4) A Dog's Journey
5) The Hustle
6) The Intruder
7) Long Shot
8) The Sun Is Also a Star
9) Poms
10) Uglydolls
$57 million
$29.4 million
$24.8 million
$8 million
$6.1 million
$4 million
$3.4 million
$2.6 million
$2.1 million
$1.6 million
$57 million
$770.8 million
$94 million
$8 million
$23.1 million
$28.1 million
$25.7 million
$2.6 million
$10 million
$17.2 million
$55 million
$356 million
$150 million
n/a
n/a
$8 million
$40 million
$9 million
$10 million
$45 million


Thursday, May 16, 2019

John Wick 3 vs A Dog's Journey vs The Sun Is Also a Star vs Avengers: Endgame

A few new movies open this May weekend.

John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum
Hit Factor: Keanu Reeves kicking ass.
Flop Factor: Very specific target audience.



A Dog's Journey
Hit Factor: People like dogs, even John Wick. A Dog's Purpose did well enough to warrant a sequel.
Flop Factor: A very family friendly film, almost too family friendly.



The Sun is Also a Star
Hit Factor: Not much in the way of teen romance movies, lately.
Flop Factor: There is a reason why.




My Predictions:

Movie
John Wick 3
Avengers: Endgame
Pokémon: Detective Pikachu
A Dog's Journey
The Hustle
Weekend Gross (millions)
$40
$30
$26
$15
$7



Sunday, May 12, 2019

Avengers: Endgame Holds Off Pikachu with $63.1 million Third Weekend.

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu ($58 million) couldn't catch them all as Avengers: Endgame held on to the top spot at the box office ($63.1 million) for the third weekend in a row, pushing it's domestic total $723.5 million.  It is now the third highest grossing film domestically, behind Star Wars: The Force Awakens ($936.7 million) and Avatar ($760.5 million). Endgame's worldwide total now stands at $2.486 billion.

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu also earned $103 million overseas for an early worldwide total of  $170.4 million.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Avengers: Endgame 
2) Pokémon: Detective Pikachu 
3) The Hustle
4) The Intruder
5) Long Shot
6) Poms
7) Uglydolls
8) Breakthrough
9) Tolkien
10) Captain Marvel
$63.1 million
$58 million
$13.5 million
$6.6 million
$6.1 million
$5.1 million
$3.9 million
$2.5 million
$2.1 million
$1.8 million
$723.5 million
$58 million
$13.5 million
$21 million
$19.7 million
$5.1 million
$14.3 million
$37.1 million
$2.2 million
$423.8 million
$356 million
$150 million
n/a
$8 million
$40 million
$10 million
$45 million
$14 million
$20 million
$170 million


Thursday, May 9, 2019

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu vs The Hustle vs Poms vs Avengers: Endgame

A few new movies hit theaters this May weekend... One of them looking to dethrone Avengers: Endgame from the top spot.

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu
Hit Factor: Pokémon has a pretty big fanbase and has a good chance of hitting the top spot this weekend over Avengers: Endgame.
Flop Factor: n/a



The Hustle
Hit Factor: Looks kind of funny.
Flop Factor: I saw it when it was called Dirty Rotten Scoundrels. Though, I guess not too many people have seen that movie.


Poms
Hit Factor: Not many movies with this target audience in mind.
Flop Factor: It has that "I'll wait for it on streaming" factor.




My Predictions:

Movie
Pokémon: Detective Pikachu
Avengers: Endgame
The Hustle
Poms
Long Shot
Weekend Gross (millions)
$70
$65
$13
$12
$5



Sunday, May 5, 2019

Avengers: Endgame Dusts Titanic with $2.2 billion Total Worldwide

Avengers: Endgame easily dominated the box office in it's second weekend with $145.8 million... upping it's domestic total to $619.7 million.  However, despite a large second weekend, it is just short of the record $149.2 million from Star Wars: The Force Awakens' second weekend take (it opened during Christmas).  So, this will get interesting, as we'll see if it can surpass The Force Awakens' total domestic hall of $936.7 million.

Endgame took in $282.2 million overseas this weekend, which helped it's worldwide total rise to $2.189 billion.  Yes, that's over $2 billion in it's second weekend in release.  This surpasses Titanic's worldwide total of $2.188 billion to become the 2nd highest grossing film of all time.  Next up, king of the box office, Avatar, who stands at $2.788 billion.  This is going to be a close one... for both domestic and worldwide records, as the box office will start to get a little bit crowded with the likes of Pokémon: Detective Pikachu, John Wick: Parabellum, Aladdin, and Godzilla: King of the Monsters being released in the next few weeks.

In other words, Disney (since the purchase of 20th Century Fox) now owns the 5 biggest box office movies of all time: Avatar ($2.788 billion), Avengers: Endgame ($2.189 billion), Titanic (co-financed with Paramount)($2.188 billion), Star Wars: The Force Awakens ($2.053 billion), Avengers: Infinity War ($2.048 billion). They also have 8 out of the top 10.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Avengers: Endgame 
2) The Intruder
3) Long Shot
4) Uglydolls
5) Captain Marvel
6) Breakthrough
7) Curse of La Llorona 
8) Shazam!
9) Little
10) Dumbo
$145.8 million
$11 million
$10 million
$8.5 million
$4.3 million
$3.9 million
$3.5 million
$2.5 million
$1.5 million
$1.4 million
$619.7 million
$11 million
$10 million
$8.5 million
$420.8 million
$33.2 million
$48.1 million
$135.2 million
$38.6 million
$109.7 million
$356 million
$8 million
$40 million
$45 million
$175 million
$14 million
$9 million
$100 million
$20 million
$170 million


Thursday, May 2, 2019

Long Shot vs The Intruder vs Ugly Dolls vs Avengers: Endgame

A bunch of new movies hit theaters in the wake of the biggest movie opening ever.

Long Shot
Hit Factor: Getting positive reviews (87% Tomatometer)
Flop Factor: The trailers seem to downplay it's supposed comedy.


The Intruder
Hit Factor: Counter target audience from Avengers: Endgame
Flop Factor: Doesn't seem to bring anything original to the "intruder" type of film.


Ugly Dolls
Hit Factor: Not much competition in the way of animated movies at the box office.
Flop Factor: I don't know any kid that would want to see this movie over Avengers: Endgame.




My Predictions:

Movie
Avengers: Endgame
Long Shot
Ugly Dolls
The Intruder
Captain Marvel
Weekend Gross (millions)
$170
$14
$13
$13
$6