Breaking Dawn Holds of Thanksgiving Newcomers

Yup, the fourth in the Twilight franchise managed to take in $42 million over the weekend, easily reclaiming the top spot at the box office. While, The Muppets took in a nice $29.5 million, which may go a long way since it has strong word of mouth.

As for Arthur Christmas ($12.7 million) and Hugo ($11.4), they had to settle for 4th and 5th, as they were beaten by Happy Feet Two ($13.4 million). Arthur Christmas may have a hard time making it's money back, as it reportedly cost $100 million, but a Christmas family movie release just in time for the Christmas season may have some legs. As for Hugo, time will tell, as it only debuted in a limited amount of theaters, but did reported cost $170 million to make.


Weekend Estimates

Movie	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	Budget
1) Breaking Dawn Part 1 2) The Muppets 3) Happy Feet Two 4) Arthur Christmas 5) Hugo 6) Jack and Jill 7) Immortals 8) Puss in Boots 9) Tower Heist 10) The Descendants	$42 million $29.5 million $13.4 million $12.7 million $11.4 million $10.3 million $8.8 million $7.5 million $7.3 million $7.2 million	$221.3 million $42 million $43.8 million $17 million $15.4 million $57.4 million $68.6 million $135.4 million $65.4 million $10.7 million	$110 million $45 million $135 million $100 million $170 million $79 million $75 million $130 million $75 million n/a

Breaking Dawn vs The Muppets vs...

two other family films on Thanksgiving Day Weekend, possibly making it another big box office weekend, especially since all new movies are getting highly positive reviews.


The Muppets
Hit Factor: Currently a 97% on rottentomatoes, one of the highest rated films of the year. Might bring out the movie goers who were on the fence about seeing this in theaters.
Flop Factor: The Muppets are fighting their absence in popularity.



Hugo
Hit Factor: Also currently getting a 97% on rottentomatoes. Directed by Martin Scorsese.
Flop Factor: Competition by other family films included The Muppets, Happy Feet Two, and...



Arthur Christmas
Hit Factor: The third family film this week to score above 90% on rottentomatoes (currently 93%).
Flop Factor: Like Hugo, has some stiff competition from other family friendly films, which have a bigger piece of the market.


My Predictions:

Movie Breaking Dawn Part 1 The Muppets Arthur Christmas Happy Feet Two Hugo	Weekend Gross (millions) $50 $40 $16 $15 $10

Breaking Dawn Part 1 Almost Breaks Box Office Record

That's right, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 raked in $139.5 million, almost breaking previous November record holder, which is the other Twilight film, New Moon ($142.7 million). I guess vampire films haven't gotten stale yet.

As for dancing penguins, that's another case. Happy Feet Two, managed only to pick up $22 million, about half of what the original film debuted at.

Last weeks number one, Immortals, dropped 62%, putting a damper on any real domestic profit.

Weekend Estimates

Movie	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	Budget
1) Breaking Dawn Part 1 2) Happy Feet Two 3) Immortals 4) Jack and Jill 5) Puss in Boots 6) Tower Heist 7) J. Edgar 8) A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas 9) In Time 10) The Descendants	$139.5 million $22 million $12.5 million $12 million $10.7 million $5.9 million $5.9 million $2.9 million $1.7 million $1.2 million	$139.5 million $22 million $53 million $41 million $122.3 million $23.2 million $20.7 million $28.3 million $33.4 million $1.3 million	$110 million $135 million $75 million $79 million $130 million $19 million $35 million $19 million $40 million n/a

Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1 Set to Break Box Office Records

Or Will it? A couple new movies hit theaters this weekend before Thanksgiving.

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1
Hit Factor: If you don't know by now, where the hell have you been?
Flop Factor: I think most non-fans are pretty much burnt out of this franchise. Early reviews have been pretty bad.



Happy Feet Two
Hit Factor: The first movie made almost $400 million worldwide.
Flop Factor: You mean to say there's a big budget movie going up against Breaking Dawn?



My Predictions:

Movie Breaking Dawn Part 1 Happy Feet Two Immortals Puss in Boots Jack and Jill	Weekend Gross (millions) $100 $36 $16 $15 $12

Immortals bests Jack and Jill

In a somewhat unexpected move, the 300ish movie, Immortals ($32 million), defeated Adam Sandler's Jack and Jill ($26 million) for the number one spot this weekend at the box office. I say unexpected because despite getting negative reviews, Adam Sandler movies tend to do very well.

Puss in Boots wasn't to far behind at $25.5 million and holding up very well in it's third week of release.

The other newcomer, the Clint Eastwood and Leonardo DiCaprio vehicle, J. Edgar, made a reasonable $11.5 million, however it's mediocre reviews may hurt it's future box office potential.



Weekend Estimates

Movie	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	Budget
1) Immortals 2) Jack and Jill 3) Puss in Boots 4) Tower Heist 5) J. Edgar 6) A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas 7) In Time 8) Paranormal Activity 3 9) Footloose 10) Real Steel	$32 million $26 million $25.5 million $13.2 million $11.5 million $5.9 million $4.2 million $3.6 million $2.7 million $2 million	$32 million $26 million $108.8 million $43.9 million $11.6 million $23.2 million $30.7 million $100.8 million $48.9 million $81.7 million	$75 million $79 million $130 million $75 million $35 million $19 million $40 million $5 million $24 million $110 million

Immortals vs J. Edgar vs Jack and Jill

A few new movies hit theaters this November weekend.

Immortals
Hit Factor: 300 did really well.
Flop Factor: Do we really need another 300 movie?



J. Edgar
Hit Factor: Leonardo DiCaprio in an Oscar push movie.
Flop Factor: Reviews haven't been "so-Oscar" so far.



Jack and Jill
Hit Factor: Adam Sandler movies do well despite terrible reviews.
Flop Factor: It looks absolutely terrible.



My Predictions:

Movie Jack and Jill Puss in Boots Immortals J. Edgar Tower Heist	Weekend Gross (millions) $26 $25 $20 $14 $12

Puss In Boots Slashes Tower Heist

Yep, the Ben Stiller and Eddie Murphy comedy, Tower Heist, couldn't over throw a swash-buckling animated feline named Puss in Boots at the box office this weekend. Puss in Boots made about $33 million, down about $1 million from last weekend. While, Tower Heist debuted at $25 million, a bit short of what most analysts predicted. As for A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas, it debuted with $13 million, just within range of what was expected.


Weekend Estimates

Movie	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	Budget
1) Puss in Boots 2) Tower Heist 3) A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas 4) Paranormal Activity 3 5) In Time 6) Footloose 7) Real Steel 8) The Rum Diary 9) The Ides of March 10) Moneyball	$33 million $25.1 million $13.1 million $8.5 million $7.7 million $4.6 million $3.4 million $3 million $2 million $1.9 million	$75.5 million $25.1 million $13.1 million $95.3 million $24.2 million $44.8 million $78.8 million $10.4 million $36.8 million $70.3 million	$130 million $85 million $19 million $5 million $40 million $24 million $110 million $45 million $12.5 million $50 million

Tower Heist vs A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas

A couple of new movies hit theaters this opening November weekend.

Tower Heist
Hit Factor: Ben Stiller and Eddie Murphy
Flop Factor: Director Brett Ratner doesn't really deliver good movies, but I guess they make money.



A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas
Hit Factor: This franchise seems to have more hype now than their last one... probably due somewhat in part to Neil Patrick Harris' re-stardom.
Flop Factor: The last Harold & Kumar did a moderate $38 million.



My Predictions:

Movie Tower Heist Puss in Boots A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas Paranormal Activity 3 In Time	Weekend Gross (millions) $28 $22 $15 $9 $7