Sunday, January 29, 2012

The Grey Eats Up the Box Office

Liam Neeson's latest ass-kicking survival adventure, The Grey, easily took the number one spot at the box office this weekend, with about $20 million. While One for the Money and Man on a Ledge, all debuted within expectations.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Grey
2) Underworld Awakening
3) One for the Money
4) Red Tails
5) Man on a Ledge
6) Extremely Loud & Inc. Close
7) The Descendants
8) Contraband
9) Beauty and the Beast 3D
10) Haywire
$20 million
$12.5 million
$11.8 million
$10.4 million
$8.3 million
$7.1 million
$6.6 million
$6.5 million
$5.3 million
$4 million
$20 million
$45.1 million
$11.8 million
$33.8 million
$8.3 million
$21.1 million
$58.8 million
$56.4 million
$41.1 million
$15.3 million
$20 million
$70 million
n/a
$58 million
$42 million
n/a
<$20 million
$25 million
n/a
$23 million

Thursday, January 26, 2012

The Grey vs Man On a Ledge vs One for the Money

A few new movies hit theaters this January weekend.


The Grey

Hit Factor: Liam Neeson kicking ass in the wild.
Flop Factor: How many times can we see Liam Neeson kicking ass?



Man On a Ledge

Hit Factor: Doesn't look incredibly expensive.
Flop Factor: Doesn't look to have a strong target audience either.



One for the Money

Hit Factor: No other romantic comedy out now.
Flop Factor: Well, it doesn't look very good.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Grey
One for the Money
Underworld Awakening
Red Tails
Man on a Ledge
Weekend Gross (millions)
$18
$14
$12
$10
$9



Monday, January 23, 2012

Top 20 Grossing Films of 2012: Predictions

Well, it's that time of year again to predict what will come out on top of the box office of the rest of the year. There's definitely some big movies coming out this year and some on this list may even fail miserably. There will probably be breakout hits that come out of nowhere like Bridesmaids and The Help in 2011... but for now, What are your predictions for 2012?

Update (3/28): Yes, I Know, I'm already way off, especially with The Hunger Games.

*not all stills are from the actual movie.

20) Rock of Ages
$100 million

19) Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance
$110 million
18) Battleship
$115 million

17) John Carter
$120 million
16) World War Z
$130 million
15) The Expendables 2
$130 million

14) The Hunger Games
$140 million
13) Wrath of the Titans
$150 million
12) The Bourne Legacy
$150 million
11) Brave
$160 million
10) G.I. Joe: Retaliation
$170 million
9) The Amazing Spiderman
$180 million

8) Skyfall
$200 million
7) Men in Black 3
$210 million
6) Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted
$220 million

5) Ice Age: Continental Drift
$240 million

4) The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2
$260 million
3) The Avengers
$300 million
2) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
$325 million
1) The Dark Knight Rises
$450 million

Sunday, January 22, 2012

Underworld Awakening Takes Top Spot at the Box Office

The Kate Beckinsale reprised, Underworld Awakening, easily took the top of the box office this weekend ($25.4 million). Meanwhile, the George Lucas produced, Red Tails, did a little bit better than expected, finishing in second with about $19 million.

In other news (if you still care), The Devil Inside dropped another 70% in it's third weekend to 15th place. One of those rare movies with a big number one opening weekend, only to almost completely drop out of the box office in it's third weekend.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Underworld Awakening
2) Red Tails
3) Contraband
4) Extremely Loud & Inc. Close
5) Haywire
6) Beauty and the Beast 3D
7) Joyful Noise
8) Mission: Impossible 4
9) Sherlock Holmes 2
10) Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
$25.4 million
$19.1 million
$12.2 million
$10.5 million
$9 million
$8.6 million
$6.1 million
$5.5 million
$4.8 million
$3.8 million
$25.4 million
$19.1 million
$46.1 million
$11.2 million
$9 million
$33.4 million
$21.9 million
$197.3 million
$178.6 million
$94.8 million
$70 million
$58 million
$25 million
n/a
$23 million
n/a
$25 million
$145 million
$125 million
$90 million

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Underworld Awakening vs Haywire vs Red Tails

A few new movies battle it out at the box office this weekend, and one opens in wider release.

Underworld Awakening
Hit Factor: Kate Beckinsale is back in...
Flop Factor: How many of these have they made already?



Haywire
Hit Factor: Looks like a cool Liam Neeson ass-kicking flick with a female instead as the lead.
Flop Factor: The lead actress is virtually unknown, but surrounded by famous costars.



Red Tails

Hit Factor: George Lucas seems to be heavily backing this film.
Flop Factor: George Lucas movies haven't really been relevant since the 90s.



Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

Hit Factor: Director of Billy Elliot and The Hours
Flop Factor: This movie seems a little self-indulgent (from the trailers).



My Predictions:

Movie
Underworld Awakening
Contraband
Red Tails
Haywire
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
Weekend Gross (millions)
$24
$15
$12
$10
$9



Sunday, January 15, 2012

Contraband Takes Box Office Weekend

In a somewhat unexpected move this weekend, Mark Wahlberg's Contraband ($24.1 million) took the number one spot at the box office, beating out Beauty and the Beast 3D ($18.5 million, which is pretty good considering it's a rerelease). The Devil Inside took an expected huge drop of about 77% after an impressive first weekend.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Contraband
2) Beauty and the Beast 3D
3) Mission: Impossible 4
4) Joyful Noise
5) Sherlock Holmes 2
6) The Devil Inside
7) The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
8) Alvin and the Chipmunks
9) War Horse
10) The Iron Lady
$24.1 million
$18.5 million
$11.5 million
$11.3 million
$8.4 million
$7.9 million
$6.8 million
$5.8 million
$5.6 million
$5.4 million
$24.1 million
$18.5 million
$186.7 million
$11.3 million
$170 million
$46.2 million
$88 million
$118.8 million
$65.8 million
$6 million
$25 million
n/a
$145 million
$25 million
$145 million
$1 million
$90 million
$75 million
$66 million
$13 million

Thursday, January 12, 2012

Beauty and the Beast 3D vs The Devil Inside

A Disney classic returns to theaters in 3D, while a couple of other movies hit theaters each looking to take early January just as unexpectedly as The Devil Inside.

Beauty and the Beast 3D
Hit Factor: The Lion King returned to 3D last year with a big $30 million debut.
Flop Factor: Disney seems intent on turning all their old classics to 3D.



Contraband
Hit Factor: Sounds like a low budget action flick.
Flop Factor: Marketing seems pretty weak for this film, as I don't even know what this film is about yet.



Joyful Noise
Hit Factor: Umm, it's relatively low budget, I'm guessing.
Flop Factor: will you see this film?



My Predictions:

Movie
Beauty and the Beast 3D
The Devil Inside
Mission: Impossible 4
Contraband
Joyful Noise
Weekend Gross (millions)
$24
$13
$12
$12
$9



Monday, January 9, 2012

10 Biggest Box Office Flops of 2011

2011 was a huge year for movies, and it was especially a big year for flops. Despite the rise in box office from the overseas market (which helped save some movies from becoming total failures Click Here) there were still outstanding box office flops. Some you may have heard of, and some you may not. Anyway, here are the 10 Biggest Box Office Flops of 2011.


10) The Big Year
Three big comedy actors couldn't save a movie no one wanted to watch. Ouch! Not a very big year for them.
Budget: $41 million
Domestic Gross: $7.2 million
Foreign Gross: $0.2 million
Total Gross: $7.4 million

9) Anonymous
It's great for a director to do something out of the ordinary. However, here I am wondering if Roland Emmerich should stick to his end-of-the-world disaster movies...
Budget: $30 million
Domestic Gross: $4.4 million
Foreign Gross: $10.3 million
Total Gross: $14.7 million



8) Drive Angry
Nicholas Cage seems to be in a lot of these bad, bad movies. Sometimes they do well, like Ghost Rider, but other times (like these) they tank.
Budget: $50 million
Domestic Gross: $10.7 million
Foreign Gross: $18.2 million
Total Gross: $28.9 million


7) Your Highness
Great cast, was supposed to be the next funniest thing since Pineapple Express. Unfortunately, that wasn't the case.
Budget: $50 million
Domestic Gross: $21.6 million
Foreign Gross: $3.3 million
Total Gross: $24.9 million



6) Killer Elite
Who would have thought that a movie with Jason Statham, Clive Owen, and Robert DeNiro would flop?
Budget: $70 million
Domestic Gross: $25.1 million
Foreign Gross: $27.8 million
Total Gross: $53 million


5) The Beaver
It was supposed to be Mel Gibson's comeback movie, directed by Jodie Foster. It wasn't... people still stayed away. The title doesn't really help either.
Budget: $21 million
Domestic Gross: $1 million
Foreign Gross: $5.4 million
Total Gross: $6.4 million


4) Conan the Barbarian
A remake of a film that wasn't great because it was actually good, but because it developed into a cheesy classic cult hit... Well, Arnold trying to act is pretty entertaining.
Budget: $90 million
Domestic Gross: $21.3 million
Foreign Gross: $27.5 million
Total Gross: $48.8 million


3) Hugo
Did not want to put this on here, but despite it's positive reviews, this Martin Scorcese film is not finding an audience at all. Maybe still too early, but it has been out since Thanksgiving.
Budget: $150 million*
Domestic Gross: $51 million
Foreign Gross: $11.9 million
Total Gross: $63 million



2) Rum Diary
Oh Hunter S. Thompson, nobody really wants to see his books turn into films, even with Johnny Depp in them. Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas being one of the greatest movies ever made, didn't exactly do well either, when it came out.
Budget: $45 million
Domestic Gross: $13.1 million
Foreign Gross: $8.5 million
Total Gross: $21.6 million


1) Mars Needs Moms
You knew about this flop all year, since it came out in March. It had the rest of the year to be out-flopped, but no other movie came close. Disney just wishes to sweep this movie away... umm on a somewhat related note, John Carter, that looks very expensive and lacking a strong target audience. Disney is throwing a lot of advertising dollars at it, crossing their fingers so they don't have another Mars Needs Moms.
Budget: $150 million
Domestic Gross: $21.4 million
Foreign Gross: $17.6 million
Total Gross: $39 million



*Their are a few Hugo figures. Imdb even indicated it cost $170 million, however and insider said the it has cost less than $150 million. So I'll leave it at that, until further notified.

Full List of 2011 Flops
10 Movies Saved by the Overseas Market

Sunday, January 8, 2012

The Devil Inside Scares Up a Surprisingly Huge Box Office

In a huge turn of events, The Devil Inside scared up over $34 million this early weekend in January. This is much beyond expectations as most analysts (and even studio executives) thought it would open in the $8 to $10 million range. However, it seems people really wanted to be scared, despite watching a movie that is getting really, really bad reviews (7% on rottentomatoes). So, since this movie already made 3400% of it's budget back, then expect many sequels to come.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Devil Inside
2) Mission: Impossible 4
3) Sherlock Holmes 2
4) The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
5) Alvin and the Chipmunks 3
6) War Horse
7) We Bought a Zoo
8) The Adventures of Tintin
9) Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
10) New Year's Eve
$34.5 million
$20.5 million
$14.1 million
$11.4 million
$9.5 million
$8.6 million
$8.5 million
$6.6 million
$5.8 million
$3.3 million
$34.5 million
$170.2 million
$157.4 million
$76.8 million
$111.6 million
$56.8 million
$56.4 million
$61.9 million
$10.4 million
$52 million
$1 million
$145 million
$125 million
$90 million
$75 million
$70 million
$56 million
$135 million
$21 million
$56 million

Thursday, January 5, 2012

The Devil Inside Takes on Mission: Impossible 4, Sherlock 2, Alvin 3

It is 2012 and what better way to start off the new Year than with a movie about the devil. This is the only new wide released film this week, and it will have a tough time going up against the current Holiday favorites Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol, Sherlock Holmes 2 and Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked.

The Devil Inside
Hit Factor: No other scary movie in theaters.
Flop Factor: There are a lot of better movies that have opened during the Holiday Season.



My Predictions:

Movie
Mission Impossible 4
Sherlock Holmes 2
The Devil Inside
Alvin and the Chipmunks 3
War Horse
Weekend Gross (millions)
$19
$12
$11
$10
$9



Tuesday, January 3, 2012

10 Movies of 2011 Saved by the Overseas Market

How huge is the overseas movie Box Office?

It's huge.

Films like Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides and Transformers: Dark of the Moon were all catapulted to the Billion Dollar range because of huge overseas grosses. However, I'm not here to talk about those movies that were already successful stateside, rather the ones that didn't do so well in the States and benefited greatly because of the overseas market. I'm leaving movies like Johnny English* off this list because it is directly not an American film (although, I guess the same could be said for Tintin and The Three Musketeers). Here are 10 movies of 2011 that would have become flops if it wasn't for an overseas market.

*if you wanted to know, Johnny English - Budget: $45 million, Domestic Gross: $8.3 million, Foreign Gross: $150.3 million, Total Gross: $158.6 million.
**This list is as of Jan 2 2012

Scream 4
It was a major flop in the States, especially with all the hype leading up to it's release. A small, but enough of a overseas gross helped this movie go from a box office flop to a box office disappointment... by comparison, Scream 3 made over $161 million worldwide.
Budget: $40 million
Domestic Gross: $38.2 million
Foreign Gross: $60 million
Total Gross: $97.1


Sanctum
Remember the marketing for this film with James Cameron's name all over this... even though he's just the producer? Well it worked overseas.
Budget: $30 million
Domestic Gross: $23.2 million
Foreign Gross: $85.4 million
Total Gross: $108.6 million

The Three Musketeers
This movie didn't do well at all in the states. Luckily it did reasonably well overseas to make it's loss not substantial.
Budget: $75 million
Domestic Gross: $20.4 million
Foreign Gross: $111.9 million
Total Gross: $132.3 million



In Time
This came and went here in the States, but surprisingly it got a strong following overseas.
Budget: $40 million
Domestic Gross: $37 million
Foreign Gross: $95.6 million
Total Gross: $133.5 million


The Green Hornet
It was an expensively risky run-of-the-mill action comedy that almost tanked.
Budget: $120 million
Domestic Gross: $98.8 million
Foreign Gross: $129 million
Total Gross: $227.8 million


Real Steel
Rockem' Sockem' Robots looked like an expensive dud from the trailers... I guess Wolverine in any movie does well overseas.
Budget: $110 million
Domestic Gross: $84.6 million
Foreign Gross: $192.7 million
Total Gross: $277.3 million


Rango
I'm pretty sure they expected this big budget first run non-Disney animated film to do much better in the states. Especially with Johnny Depp's name all over this film.
Budget: $135 million
Domestic Gross: $123.3 million
Foreign Gross: $122 million
Total Gross: $245.2 million


X-men: First Class
It seems the X-men series is finding a burnout as this is the lowest grossing X-men in the series (stateside). Maybe because Wolverine isn't the lead character anymore?
Budget: $160 million
Domestic Gross: $146.4 million
Foreign Gross: $207.2 million
Total Gross: $353.6 million


Cars 2
The worst rated Pixar movie becomes the first Pixar film to not reach it's budget in the states. Let's just say the original Cars made $244 million to Cars 2 ($191.5 million).
Budget: $200 million
Domestic Gross: $191.5 million
Foreign Gross: $368.4 million
Total Gross: $559.9 million


The Adventures of Tintin
Probably the most oddly contrasting grosses on this list. Steven Speilberg's Tintin failed to deliver an audience in the states but did exceptionally well overseas where more people are familiar with this product. So here's to wondering if they will make another one.
Budget: $135 million
Domestic Gross: $50.8 million
Foreign Gross: $260.5 million
Total Gross: $311.3 million