Monday, July 9, 2012

The Avengers vs The Dark Knight Rises

Will The Dark Knight Rises make more than The Avengers?

With The Avengers making an absurdly record shattering $207 million on opening weekend, one has to wonder if the final chapter to the Christopher Nolan, Christian Bale Batman saga, The Dark Knight Rises will surpass that amount.

Going into Summer I would have definitely said, "Yes."  As, at the time, it looked like The Dark Knight Rises would be the biggest movie of the year. Now, I'm a bit in doubt because $207 million is a tall feat to overcome.  Also, The Avengers is getting closer to the $1.5 billion mark overall, worldwide, and is looking more likely to to surpass that too.

One thing that The Avengers had going for it, is the fact that there was no competition at the box office when it did come out... I mean Think Like A Man was in a far away second place, followed by The Hunger Games in it's seventh weekend... so not much competition there.  Post debut, it easily toppled big budget flops Dark Shadows and Battleship. Only Men In Black 3 managed to take it out of the top spot, but by that time The Avengers was well into it's fourth weekend.

In contrast, The Dark Knight Rises does have some competition as The Amazing Spiderman will still be in theaters, and to a lessor extent Ice Age: Continental Drift will be on it's second weekend.  The good thing for The Dark Knight Rises is that it should easily pummel through it's second weekend as low-key movies The Watch and Step-Up Revolution debut.  The only movie that might steal some of it's audience, is Total Recall which debuts in The Dark Knight Rises' third weekend.  Though, that could do a repeat along the lines of Battleship.  Thus, The Bourne Legacy, which hits August 10 could be the movie that finally takes the top spot.  But, by then, The Dark Knight Rises will probably have clobbered the box office.

The Dark Knight Rises is also supposedly clocked in at 2 hours and 45 minutes, compared to The Avengers' 2 hours and 22 minutes.  Though, I don't know how much less screenings that would mean.  Also, with The Dark Knight Rises being "dark" it may play less towards families as The Avengers did.  The Avengers also had the advantage of being played in 3D, so there's some extra percentage charges for that.  I do thank Christopher Nolan for not succumbing to the 3D pressure on The Dark Knight Rises, because I'm pretty sure Warner Bros. nudged him to go the 3D route, like they did on the final Harry Potter film.

The biggest detriment to The Dark Knight Rises, may not be another movie, actually. The Olympics, which starts on the 27th of July could have everyone in the world glued to the TV for the next couple of weeks.

Anyhow, The Dark Knight Rises needs to get great word of mouth, and great reviews to have longevity.  Opening weekend should be huge, possibly beating The Avengers' $207 million, since crazy fanboys are probably treating this as a competition to against The Avengers, just for records sake, but we'll see when the time comes...  If you've learned anything about this year, is that the box office has been very unpredictable.

Do you think The Dark Knight Rises will beat The Avengers?


SCORECARD:
The AvengersThe Dark Knight Rises
Budget$220 Million$250 million
Opening Weekend$207.4 million$160.9 million
Domestic Gross$622.9 million$443.1 million
Foreign Gross$888.4 million$623.7 million
Overall Gross$1.511 billion$1.067 billion

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