Thursday, August 30, 2012

Lawless vs The Possession

A few new movies hit theaters this late August early September weekend in what could be another slow weekend

Lawless
Hit Factor: No Competition
Flop Factor: I haven't seen too much marketing for this film despite it's big ensemble cast.



The Possession
Hit Factor: It's probably very low budget.
Flop Factor: It's late August.



The Oogieloves in The BIG Balloon Adventure
Hit Factor: I guess this is the new thing for kids.
Flop Factor: I'm too old for this.


My Predictions:

Movie
The Possession
Lawless
The Oogieloves
The Expendables 2
ParaNorman
Weekend Gross (millions)
$12
$11
$8
$7
$6




Sunday, August 26, 2012

The Expendables 2 Holds Off a Slew of Weak Competition

The Expendables 2 easily held off the competition in it's second weekend of release (with $13.5 million). In fact, the top six movies included no new movie releases... that's how slow this weekend was at the box office.  I actually think this is the lowest grossing weekend of the year, so far.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Expendables 2
2) The Bourne Legacy
3) ParaNorman
4) The Campaign
5) The Dark Knight Rises
6) The Odd Life of Timothy Green
7) Premium Rush
8) 2016 Obama's America
9) Hope Springs
10) Hit And Run
$13.5 million
$9.3 million
$8.5 million
$7.4 million
$7.2 million
$7.1 million
$6.3 million
$6.2 million
$6 million
$4.7 million
$52.3 million
$85 million
$28.3 million
$65.5 million
$422.2 million
$27.1 million
$6.3 million
$9.1 million
$45 million
$5.9 million
$100 million
$125 million
$85 million
$56 million
$250 million
$25 million
$35 million
$2.5 million
$30 million
$2 million



Thursday, August 23, 2012

Premium Rush vs Hit & Run

A couple of new low-key movies hit theaters this late August weekend.

Premium Rush
Hit Factor: Looks entertaining.
Flop Factor: Though I would probably rather wait till it comes out on video.



Hit & Run
Hit Factor: Umm.
Flop Factor: It's coming out in late August


My Predictions:

Movie
The Expendables 2
Premium Rush
The Bourne Legacy
ParaNorman
Hit & Run
Weekend Gross (millions)
$16
$11
$10
$9
$8




Sunday, August 19, 2012

The Expendables 2 Takes Top Spot at Box Office


Despite debuting lower than expectations, The Expendables 2 easily took the top spot at the box office this weekend with about $28.8 million.  By comparison, The Expendables debuted with $34.8 million.

ParaNorman, for all it's last minute hype and positive reviews, it also debut with a soft landing, ($14 million).  By comparison, Coraline debuted with $16.8 million. 

In other news, The Dark Knight Rises has finally passed the $400 million mark domestically as it inches closer to the $1 billion mark worldwide.

Looks like the mid-to-late August lull is starting.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Expendables 2
2) The Bourne Legacy
3) ParaNorman
4) The Campaign
5) Sparkle
6) The Dark Knight Rises
7) The Odd Life of Timothy Green
8) Hope Springs
9) Diary of a Wimpy Kid 3
10) Total Recall
$28.8 million
$17 million
$14 million
$13.4 million
$12 million
$11.1 million
$10.9 million
$9.1 million
$3.9 million
$3.5 million
$28.8 million
$69.6 million
$14 million
$51.7 million
$12 million
$409.9 million
$15.2 million
$35.1 million
$38.8 million
$51.8 million
$100 million
$125 million
n/a
$56 million
$14 million
$250 million
$25 million
$30 million
$22 million
$125 million

Thursday, August 16, 2012

The Expendables 2 vs The Bourne Legacy

The Expendables 2 and a host of other films hit theaters this mid-August weekend. Will The Bourne Legacy fall to this group of commandos?

The Expendables 2
Hit Factor: 80's action nostalgia, gets upped with Jean Claude Van Damme and Chuck Norris, and more Arnold Schwarzenegger and Bruce Willis this time around.
Flop Factor: The Expendables wasn't exactly that great, even for a ridiculous action film.  This franchise should pin itself as cheesy and over-the-top, but still entertaining as the Fast Five.


ParaNorman
Hit Factor: From the producers of Coraline, though not the creator.
Flop Factor: Will this hit with the kids or will this be like that movie 9?


Sparkle
Hit Factor: A safe feel good movie
Flop Factor: Looks more of a film I'd wait for the DVD version.


The Odd Life of Timothy Green
Hit Factory: A weird family film.
Flop Factor: Getting over the concept, the rest looks pretty much run of the mill.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Expendables 2
The Bourne Legacy
ParaNorman
The Campaign
The Odd Life of Timothy Green
Weekend Gross (millions)
$35
$17
$16
$14
$12




Sunday, August 12, 2012

The Bourne Legacy Tops The Campaign and The Dark Knight Rises

There's a new box office champion in town as The Bourne Legacy relaunch nabbed the top spot away from the The Dark Knight Rises' fourth weekend.  Taking in about $40.3 million, The Bourne Legacy is still behind The Bourne Supremacy's $52.4 million and The Bourne Ultimatum's $69.2 million, thought it is still good news considering it's the fourth in the series and a new lead taking control.

Will Ferrell's and Zach Galifianakis' comedy The Campaign, took in about $27.4 million for second place.  Which is pretty good considering Will Ferrell's movies have reached a plateau in recent times.

Total Recall, on the other hand, dropped almost 70% this weekend, resulting in a major disappointment for Sony, and could make my 2012 flops list, unless a huge overseas audience chimes in.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Bourne Legacy
2) The Campaign
3) The Dark Knight Rises
4) Hope Springs
5) Diary of a Wimpy Kid 3
6) Total Recall
7) Ice Age: Continental Drift
8) Ted
9) Step Up Revolution
10) The Watch
$40.3 million
$27.4 million
$19.5 million
$15.6 million
$8.2 million
$8.1 million
$6.8 million
$3.3 million
$2.9 million
$2.2 million
$40.3 million
$27.4 million
$390.1 million
$20.1 million
$30.6 million
$44.2 million
$144.1 million
$209.9 million
$30.2 million
$31.3 million
$125 million
$56 million
$250 million
$30 million
$22 million
$125 million
$95 million
$50 million
$33 million
$68 million

Thursday, August 9, 2012

The Bourne Legacy vs The Campaign vs The Dark Knight Rises

Can The Dark Knight Rises four-peat? Probably not, because here are the contenders.

The Bourne Legacy
Hit Factor: The Bourne Franchise has done pretty damn well.
Flop Factor: Can Jeremy Renner fill Matt Damon's shoes?


The Campaign
Hit Factor: It looks funny.
Flop Factor: Like most recent Will Ferrell movies, they're funny but I rather just wait till it comes out on video.


Hope Springs
Hit Factor: A romantic drama for the older folks in the midst of high energy Summer fare.
Flop Factor: Is it just me or is Steve Carell just in this movie because he's a name star? It doesn't look like his character really brings out anything special, at least from the trailers that is.


My Predictions:

Movie
The Bourne Legacy
The Campaign
The Dark Knight Rises
Hope Springs
Total Recall
Weekend Gross (millions)
$40
$26
$22
$14
$12




Sunday, August 5, 2012

The Dark Knight Rises Defeats Total Recall

The Dark Knight Rises ($36.4 million) easily beat out newcomers Total Recall ($26 million) and Diary of a Wimpy Kid 3 ($14.7 million).  Total Recall and Diary of a Wimpy Kid 3 debuted a bit lower than their studios expected.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Dark Knight Rises
2) Total Recall
3) Diary of a Wimpy Kid 3
4) Ice Age: Continental Drift
5) The Watch
6) Ted
7) Step Up Revolution
8) The Amazing Spiderman
9) Brave
10) Magic Mike
$36.4 million
$26 million
$14.7 million
$8.4 million
$6.4 million
$5.5 million
$5.3 million
$4.3 million
$2.9 million
$1.4 million
$354.6 million
$26 million
$14.7million
$131.9 million
$25.4 million
$203.4 million
$23.1 million
$250.6 million
$223.3 million
$110.9 million
$250 million
$125 million
$22 million
$95 million
$68 million
$50 million
$33 million
$230 million
$185 million
$7 million

Thursday, August 2, 2012

Total Recall vs The Dark Knight Rises

A couple of new movies hit theaters this weekend, both trying to dethrone The Dark Knight Rises from the top spot.

Total Recall
Hit Factor: It looks entertaining.
Flop Factor: Reported budget is about $200 million(Really? I'll have to get back to you on this figure).--Update: Hollywood Reporter states is more like around $125 million.


Diary of a Wimpy Kid 3
Hit Factor: There's a mild franchised audience.
Flop Factor: This franchise doesn't exactly evoke giant success, but I guess moderate success is welcome too.


My Predictions:

Movie
The Dark Knight Rises
Total Recall
Diary of a Wimpy Kid 3
Ice Age: Continental Drift
The Watch
Weekend Gross (millions)
$34
$26
$16
$8
$6