Thursday, November 29, 2012

Killing Them Softly vs Breaking Dawn 2 vs Skyfall

One new movie opens in wide release this post Thanksgiving weekend (I think The Collection also opens this week, but unsure how wide it will open).  In other words, look for a repeat of last weekend, with lower numbers.

Killing Them Softly
Hit Factor: Brad Pitt. Positive reviews so far (84% on rottentomatoes)
Flop Factor: Soft buzz.  Weekend after Thanksgiving has proven not fruitful for big box office newcomers.



My Predictions:

Movie
Breaking Dawn Part 2
Skyfall
Lincoln
Life of Pi
Rise of the Guardians
Weekend Gross (millions)
$21
$20
$20
$16
$15




Sunday, November 25, 2012

Breaking Dawn 2, Skyfall & Lincoln Take Thanksgiving Weekend From Newcomers

In somewhat of a surprise, holdovers The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 ($43.1 million), Skyfall ($36 million) and Lincoln ($25 million), all managed to score higher than newcomers Rise of the Guardians ($24 million), Life of Pi ($22 million) and Red Dawn ($14.6 million).

Rise of the Guardians' fourth place finish underwhelmed many analysts predictions as most expected in the $40 million plus range.  The reported $145 million animated flick now needs some strong legs and an overseas market to manage a profit.

As for Life of Pi, it did better than expected (probably a result of positive word of mouth), as most thought it didn't really have an audience in North America.  Still, it has some ways to go to recoup its $120 million budget.

Despite Breaking Dawn Part 2's 70% drop from last weekend, it is still tracking slightly ahead of Breaking Dawn Part 1 (which went on to make $281.3 million domestically). And could possibly eclipse Eclipse's $300.5 million take (which is the highest in the Twilight Saga).

Skyfall is now the highest grossing James Bond movie ever, both domestically and overseas.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Breaking Dawn Part 2
2) Skyfall
3) Lincoln
4) Rise of the Guardians
5) Life of Pi
6) Wreck-It Ralph
7) Red Dawn
8) Flight
9) Silver Linings Playbook
10) Argo
$43.1 million
$36 million
$25 million
$24 million
$22 million
$16.8 million
$14.6 million
$8.6 million
$4.6 million
$3.9 million
$227 million
$221.7 million
$62.2 million
$32.6 million
$30.2 million
$149.5 million
$22 million
$74.9 million
$6.5 million
$98.1 million
$120 million
$200 million
$65 million
$145 million
$120 million
$165 million
$65 million
$31 million
$21 million
$44.5 million

Thursday, November 22, 2012

Twilight: Breaking Dawn 2 vs Rise of the Guardians vs Life of Pi vs Red Dawn

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 looks to fend off a slew of newcomers this Thanksgiving Day weekend.

Life of Pi
Hit Factor: Early positive reviews. Of all new releases, this is the one I'd watch.
Flop Factor: Buzz doesn't really seem strong for most of America.



Rise of the Guardians
Hit Factor: Playing in the most theaters of any newcomer... sure bet that families will see this on a Holiday weekend.
Flop Factor: Still has Wreck-It Ralph to contend with... And buzz doesn't seem as huge as it should be for a $145 budget animated film.



Red Dawn
Hit Factor: If you've already seen all the good movies out.
Flop Factor: I'd rather watch Skyfall a few more times than this film. Oh, and the 11% on rottentomatoes doesn't help either.


My Predictions:

Movie
Breaking Dawn Part 2
Rise of the Guardians
Skyfall
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Weekend Gross (millions)
$45
$40
$26
$23
$15




Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Coolest Movie Trailers of 2013

It's the end of 2012 and it's time to look forward to the 2013 movie season. It's quickly being shaped up to be a Sci-Fi year, with some pretty cool looking trailers.  Here are the coolest movie trailers of 2013... so far.

G.I. Joe: Retaliation (March 29)
Looks full of popcorn fun, hopefully it's postponed release date means they're making it better.



Oblivion (April 12)
A Sci-Fi Tom Cruise flick that looks halfway decent



The Great Gatsby (May 10)
Director Baz Lurhmann's latest opus... so it should look good.



Star Trek: Into Darkness (May 17)
Not the biggest Trek fan, but mayhem and destruction looks awesome from J.J. Abrams.


Fast and Furious 6 (May 24)
Fast Five was entertaining, this looks like a step in the right direction.


After Earth (June 7)
So, M. Night Shyamalan makes great trailers, and the movie usually doesn't turn out as expected... This is still a good trailer.



This Is The End
This looks ridiculously funny. (June 14)


Man of Steel (June 14)
I didn't really care for the teaser, but this trailer starts to show Zack Snyder's immense visual style, while keeping a darker Christopher Nolan tone.


The Lone Ranger (July 3rd)
The look is amazing, despite the fact that I didn't really care for the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise.



Elysium (August 9)
If you like District 9...


The World's End (August 23)
I think I'm swayed because of Hot Fuzz and Shaun of the Dead.

Gravity (October 4th)
Amazing trailer.

Monday, November 19, 2012

Mini Review: Hitchcock

Hitchcock
Pros: Acting, Oscar Bait.
Cons: Good, but not mind-blowing.
Conclusion: Strong performances from Anthony Hopkins and Helen Mirren will get Hollywood talking. More of an "actor's" movie than anything else.
B

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Breaking Dawn Part 2 Easiy Tops Box Office


The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 easily took the top spot at the box office this weekend with about $141.3 million... just short of the franchise record New Moon ($142.8 million) set in 2009.  Worldwide, Breaking Dawn Part 2 has already made $340.9 million, which is a best for the franchise.

Skyfall, which dropped to second place ($41.5 million) now has a worldwide total of $669.2 million, making it the highest grossing Bond film ever. And possibly, on track to hit the $1 billion mark.

As for Spielberg's Lincoln, it did reasonably well, for a third place finish of $21 million.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Breaking Dawn Part 2
2) Skyfall
3) Lincoln
4) Wreck-It Ralph
5) Flight
6) Argo
7) Taken 2
8) Pitch Perfect
9) Here Comes the Boom
10) Hotel Transylvania
$141.3 million
$41.5 million
$21 million
$18.3 million
$8.6 million
$4.1 million
$2.1 million
$1.3 million
$1.2 million
$.9 million
$141.3 million
$161.3 million
$22.4 million
$121.5 million
$61.3 million
$92 million
$134.6 million
$62 million
$41 million
$142.7 million
$120 million
$200 million
$65 million
$165 million
$31 million
$44.5 million
$45 million
$17 million
$42 million
$85 million

Thursday, November 15, 2012

Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 2 vs Lincoln

A final piece in the vampire saga finally arrives, while a Spielberg-ian presidential flick hits theaters. Oh, and then there's that James Bond movie to contend with.  Should be a giant weekend at the movies.


Twilight: Breaking Dawn - Part 2
Hit Factor: Teenage girls
Flop Factor: It's finally over.



Lincoln
Hit Factor: Steven Spielberg plus Daniel Day Lewis.
Flop Factor: Looks like a good, but possibly boring movie.


My Predictions:

Movie
Breaking Dawn Part 2
Skyfall
Wreck-It Ralph
Lincoln
Flight
Weekend Gross (millions)
$145
$50
$21
$18
$9




Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Mini Review: Argo

Argo
Pros: Based off a true story. Good chance of an Oscar nod
Cons: Key moments in the film were obviously dramatized for more suspense.
Conclusion: If it wasn't based off a true story, don't know if I would enjoy it as much.
B

Monday, November 12, 2012

Mini Review: Skyfall

Skyfall 
Pros: One of the better Bond films. Javier Bardem. Location shots. The look.
Cons: A few small nit-picky things.
Conclusion: Now time to find out which is better, Casino Royale or Skyfall.
B+

Sunday, November 11, 2012

Skyfall Sets Bond Record


The latest James Bond flick, Skyfall, set a record this weekend for largest Bond opening ever, with about $87.8 million.  This easily beats Quantum of Solace's $67.5 million.  It has also made over $89 million overseas with a foreign total of $428.6 million and a worldwide total of $518.6 million.  It should easily surpass Quantum of Solace's and Casino Royale's total take ($586.1 million and $594.2 million) rather soon.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Skyfall
2) Wreck-It Ralph
3) Flight
4) Argo
5) Taken 2
6) Here Comes the Boom
7) Cloud Atlas
8) Pitch Perfect
9) Man with the Iron Fists
10) Hotel Transylvania
$87.8 million
$33.1 million
$15.1 million
$6.7 million
$4 million
$2.6 million
$2.5 million
$2.5 million
$2.5 million
$2.4 million
$90 million
$93.7 million
$47.8 million
$85.7 million
$131.3 million
$39.1 million
$22.7 million
$59 million
$12.7 million
$140.9 million
$200 million
$165 million
$31 million
$44.5 million
$45 million
$42 million
$102 million
$17 million
$15 million
$85 million

Thursday, November 8, 2012

Skyfall vs Wreck-It Ralph and Other Films

Only one new movie opens this weekend... and that movie is...

Skyfall
Hit factor: Reviews are high (92% tomatometer), some saying it's probably the best Bond yet.
Flop Factor: Hardly possible, since it already made over $300 million overseas.



My Predictions:

Movie
Skyfall
Wreck-It Ralph
Flight
Argo
Hotel Transylvania
Weekend Gross (millions)
$85
$36
$18
$7
$3




Sunday, November 4, 2012

Wreck-It Ralph Crushes Box Office

Disneys' Wreck-it Ralph easily took the top spot this weekend with $49.1 million.  Which is a record for Disney Animation Studios (this does not include Pixar movies) as the previous record holder was Tangled's $48.8 million.  Though, Wreck-It Ralph still has some ways to go to recoup it's $165 million budget. 

Robert Zemeckis' and Denzel Washington's up-in-the-air drama, Flight, managed a strong second place finish with $25 million, nearly matching it's $31 million budget in three days of release.

Argo held on strong for a third place finish, for $10.2 million.  It actually had the lowest percentage drop in the top 10.

Meanwhile, The Wachowski's and Twyker's highly expensive art house film, Cloud Atlas, is still struggling as it made just over $5 million and has a very long way to reach it's reported $102 million budget.  Here's hoping they have a strong overseas market.

And Meanwhile again, the next James Bond installment, Skyfall, has already made $287 million overseas since opening last weekend. 

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Wreck-It Ralph
2) Flight
3) Argo
4) The Man with the Iron Fists
5) Taken 2
6) Cloud Atlas
7) Hotel Transylvania
8) Paranormal Activity 4
9) Here Comes the Boom
10) Silent Hill: Revelation
$49.1 million
$25 million
$10.2 million
$8.2 million
$6 million
$5.3 million
$4.5 million
$4.3 million
$3.6 million
$3.3 million
$49.1 million
$25 million
$75.9 million
$8.2 million
$125.7 million
$18.3 million
$137.6 million
$49.6 million
$35.6 million
$13.9 million
$165 million
$31 million
$44.5 million
$15 million
$45 million
$102 million
$85 million
$5 million
$42 million
$20 million

Thursday, November 1, 2012

Wreck-it-Ralph vs Flight

And old school video game character and an airplane pilot lead this weekend at the movies.

Wreck-it-Ralph
Hit Factor: No other animated flick out besides Hotel Transylvania.
Flop Factor: Disney's last kid flick Frankenweenie didn't fare too well, even with positive reviews.



Flight
Hit Factor: Director Robert Zemeckis back directing live action since Castaway.
Flop Factor: He made those mediocre (but technological breakthrough) animated films since.



The Man With The Iron Fists
Hit Factor: Looks fun in a campy way... managed to sign on Russel Crowe for this film.
Flop Factor: Don't know if it's something I'd want to watch in the theater.



My Predictions:

Movie
Wreck-it-Ralph
Flight
Argo
The Man With the Iron Fists
Hotel Transylvania
Weekend Gross (millions)
$36
$20
$9
$7
$7