Sunday, December 29, 2013

The Hobbit 2 Takes Third Weekend in a Row

Yes, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug squeezed out another first place finish ($29.9 million) followed immediately behind by Disney's Frozen ($28.8 million). Frozen is doing exceptionally well, much more than anyone could have imagined and could well wind up being one of the 3 biggest movies of 2013.

The rest of the box office played much like any Christmas weekend. However, let's talk about The Secret Life of Walter Mitty ($13 million), which may have a hard time surpassing it's $90 million budget.  Still, that's not quite as big of a climb as 47 Ronin ($9.9 million) has to make to surpass it's $175 million budget.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hobbit 2
2) Frozen
3) Anchorman 2
4) American Hustle 
5) Wolf of Wall Street 
6) Saving Mr. Banks
7) Secret Life of Walter Mitty
8) The Hunger Games 2 
9) 47 Ronin
10) A Madea Christmas
$29.9 million
$28.8 million
$20.2 million
$19.6 million
$18.5 million
$14 million
$13 million
$10.2 million
$9.9 million
$7.4 million
$190.3 million
$248.4 million
$83.7 million
$60 million
$34.3 million
$37.8 million
$25.6 million
$391.1 million
$20.6 million
$43.7 million
$225 million*
$150 million
$50 million
$40 million
$100 million
$35 million
$90 million
$130 million
$175 million
n/a

*As of Oct 2013 The Hobbit Films cost $561 million so far.

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Can You Believe The Wolf of Wall Street Has a Grudge Match with Walter Mitty and his 47 Ronin?

I see what you did there. Basically a bunch of movies hit an already crowded multiplex this Christmas Weekend.

The Wolf of Wall Street
Hit Factor: Positive reviews, getting some award season buzz.
Flop Factor: About 3 hours long.



Grudge Match
Hit Factor: The right idea, to the right audience... However...
Flop Factor: The right idea can only take you so far... and so far the reviews have been bad.



The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
Hit Factor: Looks good.
Flop Factor: For a movie that looks like it should be getting awards notice... it isn't.



47 Ronin
Hit Factor: Neo (I mean) Keanu saves the day again.
Flop Factor: Where do I start?



Justin Bieber's Believe
Hit Factor: Tweenage girls
Flop Factor: Who else would pay to see his movie?



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hobbit 2
Wolf of Wall Street
Anchorman 2
American Hustle
Walter Mitty 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$25
$23
$20
$19
$17




Sunday, December 22, 2013

The Hobbit 2 Remains Number One

The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug remained at the top spot at the box office this Holiday Weekend ($31.5 million).  While it's trailing The Hobbit per weekend, Desolation of Smaug still could make a chunk of change in the next couple of weeks as the Holiday market usually increases the box office during the week. Smaug has grossed $403.8 million worldwide.

Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues debuted with a strong $26.8 million and has made already $40 million since Wednesday.  Also debuting strong, is the award happy American Hustle ($19.2 million), which is a bit above expectations.

It wasn't all good news at the box office though, Fox's Walking with Dinosaurs managed an 8th place finish with $7.3 million.  The film reportedly cost $80 million to make and will have trouble recouping that amount.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hobbit 2
2) Anchorman 2
3) Frozen
4) American Hustle 
5) Saving Mr. Banks 
6) The Hunger Games 2
7) A Madea Christmas
8) Walking with Dinosaurs 
9) Dhoom 3
10) Thor: The Dark World
$31.5 million
$26.8 million
$19.2 million
$19.1 million
$9.3 million
$8.8 million
$8.5 million
$7.3 million
$3.3 million
$1.3 million
$127.5 million
$40 million
$191.6 million
$20.2 million
$9.9 million
$371.7 million
$28.3 million
$7.3 million
$3.3 million
$200.8 million
$225 million*
$50 million
$150 million
$40 million
$35 million
$130 million
n/a
$80 million
n/a
$170 million

*As of Oct 2013 The Hobbit Films cost $561 million so far.

Thursday, December 19, 2013

Anchorman 2 vs American Hustle vs Saving Mr. Banks vs Dinosaurs vs The Hobbit 2

Here comes the onslaught of movies for the Holiday Season.

Anchroman 2: The Legend Continues
Hit Factor: The first Anchorman is pretty damn funny.
Flop Factor: Will Ferrell hasn't exactly been box office gold lately.



American Hustle
Hit Factor: Getting a lots of awards nominations.
Flop Factor: There are a lot of movies out.



Saving Mr. Banks
Hit Factor: Also, getting some awards nominations.
Flop Factor: Could get lost in what's becoming a crowded movie market.



Walking With Dinosaurs
Hit Factor: Hit factor there is no other Dinosaur movie out at the moment.
Flop Factor: Tough market, families may still want to watch Frozen or maybe The Hobbit sequel.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hobbit 2
Anchorman 2
American Hustle
Frozen
Saving Mr. Banks
Weekend Gross (millions)
$40
$35
$16
$16
$13




Sunday, December 15, 2013

The Hobbit 2 Desolates the Competition

Well, except for Frozen because that's still doing well.

Peter Jackson's The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug ($73.7 million) easily took the top spot at the box office this weekend. Though it made less than An Unexpected Journey's $84 million, Smaug could still have strong legs throughout the Holiday Season and push it close the $1 Billion mark worldwide.

As for Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas, it took in $16 million for third place which is decent. However, it marks one of Tyler Perry's lowest openings.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hobbit 2
2) Frozen
3) A Madea Christmas
4) The Hunger Games 2 
5) Thor: The Dark World 
6) Out of the Furnace
7) Delivery Man
8) Philomena
9) The Book Thief
10) Homefront
$73.7 million
$22.2 million
$16 million
$13.2 million
$2.7 million
$2.3 million
$1.9 million
$1.8 million
$1.7 million
$1.6 million
$73.7 million
$164.4 million
$16 million
$357 million
$198.1 million
$9.5 million
$28 million
$11 million
$14.9 million
$18.4 million
$225 million*
$150 million
n/a
$130 million
$170 million
$22 million
$26 million
n/a
n/a
$22 million

*As of Oct 2013 The Hobbit Films cost $561 million so far.

Thursday, December 12, 2013

The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug Looks for a huge Weekend

A couple new movies hit theaters this weekend.

The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
Hit Factor: Well, do I have to?
Flop Factor: Despite being getting positive reviews, it's still not quite as spectacularly acclaimed as The Lord of the Rings Trilogy.



Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas
Hit Factor: People still seem to flock to Tyler Perry films.
Flop Factor: How long is he going to milk this franchise?



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hobbit 2
A Madea Christmas
Frozen
The Hunger Games 2
Thor: The Dark World
Weekend Gross (millions)
$80
$25
$21
$15
$3






Sunday, December 8, 2013

Frozen Edges out Catching Fire this Post Thanksgiving Day Weekend

In a rather interesting move, Disney's Frozen took the top spot ($31.6 million) from The Hunger Games: Catching Fire ($27 million) this weekend.  Though Catching Fire has made a boat load of money ($336.7 million), it is now questionable if The Hunger Games sequel will be able to beat the original film's domestic gross ($408 million).  Worldwide, Catching Fire has already grossed $673.4 million which should easily beat The Hunger Games' tally of $691.2 million fairly soon.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Frozen
2) The Hunger Games 2
3) Out of the Furnace
4) Thor: The Dark World 
5) Delivery Man
6) Homefront
7) The Book Thief
8) The Best Man Holiday
9) Philomena
10) Dallas Buyers Club
$31.6 million
$27 million
$5.3 million
$4.7 million
$3.8 million
$3.4 million
$2.7 million
$2.7 million
$2.3 million
$1.5 million
$134.3 million
$336.7 million
$5.3 million
$193.6 million
$24.8 million
$15.3 million
$12.1 million
$67.2 million
$8.3 million
$12.4 million
$150 million
$130 million
$22 million
$170 million
$26 million
$22 million
n/a
$17 million
n/a
$5 million

Thursday, December 5, 2013

Out of the Furnace vs The Hunger Games: Catching Fire vs Frozen


Only one new film opens in wide release this post Thanksgiving weekend.

Out of the Furnace
Hit Factor: Cast... an Award hungry film.
Flop Factor: Early reviews have been less that Award-like.





My Predictions:

Movie
The Hunger Games 2
Frozen
Thor: The Dark World
Out of the Furnace
Best Man Holiday
Weekend Gross (millions)
$45
$40
$7
$6
$5




Sunday, December 1, 2013

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire Melts Disney's Frozen for Box Office Win

The Thanksgiving Day weekend was too hot for Frozen to handle as The Hunger Games: Catching Fire melted away the competition (Yay, for puns!) with $74.5 million in it's second weekend.  It's total now stands at $296.5 million and $573 million worldwide.

Disney's Frozen actually did pretty well for a second place finish ($66.7 million).  Probably due to the fact that it is the only family film in theaters this Holiday weekend.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hunger Games 2
2) Frozen  
3) Thor: The Dark World
4) The Best Man Holiday
5) Homefront
6) Delivery Man
7) The Book Thief
8) Black Nativity
9) Philomena
10) Last Vegas
$74.5 million
$66.7 million
$11.1 million
$8.5 million
$7 million
$6.9 million
$4.9 million
$3.9 million
$3.8 million
$2.8 million
$296.5 million
$93.4 million
$186.7 million
$63.4 million
$9.8 million
$19.5 million
$7.9 million
$5 million
$4.8 million
$58.7 million
$130 million
$150 million
$170 million
$17 million
$22 million
$26 million
n/a
$17.5 million
n/a
$28 million

Thursday, November 28, 2013

Frozen vs Black Nativity vs Homefront vs The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

A few new movies hit theaters this Thanksgiving Day weekend... all out to battle The Hunger Games: Catching Fire.

Frozen
Hit Factor: Disney releasing an animated Holiday film on a Holiday weekend.
Flop Factor: This is Disney, not a Pixar movie.



Black Nativity
Hit Factor: Based off of a popular play.
Flop Factor: Reviews so far are smack dab in the middle of the mediocre zone.



Homefront
Hit Factor: Jason Statham
Flop Factor: Doesn't feel like a Statham movie... (Heard it was written by Stallone and may have been one of the plots for a Rambo film).



The Book Thief
Hit Factor: An Arthouse type of film that could get some buzz from word of mouth.
Flop Factor: Unfortunately, it's reviews are mediocre so far, for real word of mouth to work.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hunger Games 2
Frozen
Thor: The Dark World
Black Nativity
Best Man Holiday
Weekend Gross (millions)
$80
$40
$10
$10
$8




Sunday, November 24, 2013

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Destroys the Box Office

It's no surprise that The Hunger Games: Catching Fire easily burned down, fueled up, ignited, lit up, and caught fire to the box office this weekend ($161.1 million).  This makes it the 4th biggest debut in history, behind The Avengers ($207.4 million), Iron Man 3 ($174.1 million) and the final Harry Potter film ($169.2 million).  It is also the biggest opening for a November movie, beating out Twilight's New Moon ($142.8 million).  Worldwide, it's total stands at $307.7 million... ahead of the first Hunger Games' $211.8 million debut in March of 2012.

There was another movie that was released this weekend (in case you weren't aware).  And that's Vince Vaughn's Delivery Man. It delivered $8.2 million for a 4th place finish.  It's one of Vince Vaughn's worst debuts in a while.  Though, all is not bad because this film reportedly cost a modest $26 million, so it could easily make some money back.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hunger Games 2
2) Thor: The Dark World 
3) The Best Man Holiday
4) Delivery Man
5) Free Birds
6) Last Vegas
7) Bad Grandpa
8) Gravity
9) 12 Years a Slave
10) Dallas Buyers Club
$161.1 million
$14.1 million
$12.5 million
$8.2 million
$5.3 million
$4.4 million
$3.5 million
$3.3 million
$2.8 million
$2.8 million
$161.1 million
$167.8 million
$50.4 million
$8.2 million
$48.6 million
$53.9 million
$95.5 million
$245.5 million
$29.4 million
$6.5 million
$130 million
$170 million
$17 million
$26 million
$55 million
$28 million
$15 million
$100 million
$20 million
$5.5 million

Thursday, November 21, 2013

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Ready to Light Up the Box Office

A couple new movies hit theaters this weekend. Only one, people are talking about.

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Hit Factor: There's like some books that a lot of people like.
Flop Factor: Umm.. I don't think this has any flop potential.


Delivery Man
Hit Factor: Counter audience to The Hunger Games (maybe?).
Flop Factor: The Hunger Games has so much buzz that people don't realized there is another film debuting in theaters this weekend.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hunger Games 2
Thor: The Dark World
Best Man Holiday
Delivery Man
Last Vegas
Weekend Gross (millions)
$170
$19
$18
$12
$5




Sunday, November 17, 2013

Thor: The Dark World Holds onto a Strong Second Weekend

Thor: The Dark World easily held onto first place for the second weekend in a roll ($38.5 million).  In fact, it has already grossed over $479 million worldwide, already surpassing the first Thor's final global tally ($449 million).

In other news, newcomer The Best Man Holiday, put up some impressive numbers ($30.6 million) for second place. The sequel is rumored to cost around $17 million.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Thor: The Dark World
2) Best Man Holiday
3) Last Vegas
4) Free Birds
5) Bad Grandpa
6) Gravity
7) Ender's Game
8) 12 Years a Slave
9) Captain Phillips
10) About Time
$38.5 million
$30.6 million
$8.9 million
$8.3 million
$7.7 million
$6.3 million
$6.2 million
$4.7 million
$4.5 million
$3.5 million
$147 million
$30.6 million
$47 million
$42.2 million
$90.2 million
$240.6 million
$53.8 million
$25 million
$97.6 million
$11.6 million
$170 million
$17 million
$28 million
$55 million
$15 million
$100 million
$110 million
$20 million
$55 million
n/a

Thursday, November 14, 2013

The Best Man Holiday vs Thor 2

One new movie opens in wide release this weekend, in the aftermath of Thor: The Dark World and before the onslaught of The Hunger Games: Catching Fire.

The Best Man Holiday
Hit Factor: Apparently a sequel. No new films out this weekend.
Flop Factor: A sequel 14 years in the making. Nudged between two of the biggest movies of the year.


My Predictions:

Movie
Thor: The Dark World
Best Man Holiday
Bad Grandpa
Free Birds
12 Years A Slave
Weekend Gross (millions)
$45
$17
$8
$8
$6






Sunday, November 10, 2013

Thor: The Dark World Crushes the Box Office

The return of the mighty Avenger in, Thor: The Dark World, hammered down the competition with a furious lightning bolt of $86.1 million.  It's worldwide total now stands at $327 million.

As expected, last weekend's number one, Ender's Game, dropped over 60% for a 5th place finish ($10.3 million), and may put a hamper on Lionsgate's decision to green light any sequels based off the books.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Thor: The Dark World
2) Bad Grandpa
3) Free Birds
4) Last Vegas
5) Ender's Game
6) Gravity
7) 12 Years a Slave
8) Captain Phillips
9) About Time
10) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
$86.1 million
$11.3 million
$11.2 million
$11.1 million
$10.3 million
$8.4 million
$6.6 million
$5.8 million
$5.2 million
$2.8 million
$86.1 million
$78.7 million
$30.2 million
$33.5 million
$44 million
$231.1 million
$17.3 million
$91 million
$6.7 million
$110 million
$170 million
$15 million
$55 million
$28 million
$110 million
$100 million
$20 million
$55 million
n/a
$78 million

Thursday, November 7, 2013

Thor: The Dark World Hits Theaters this Weekend

A few movies hit theaters this weekend... Well, mainly one big one and a couple of others expanding.

Thor: The Dark World
Hit Factor: The Avengers bump.
Flop Factor: Almost impossible.


About Time
Hit Factor: Interesting use of time travel
Flop Factor: How is this different from that other Rachel McAdams time travel romance movie?


12 Years A Slave
Hit Factor: 96% tomatometer... right between Gravity and Captain Phillips, a couple of the highest rated films of the year.
Flop Factor: Will a mass audience want to see a movie that's dark, depressing and brutal just because it's good?



My Predictions:

Movie
Thor: The Dark World
Ender's Game
Bad Grandpa
About Time
12 Years A Slave
Weekend Gross (millions)
$100
$13
$13
$8
$8




Sunday, November 3, 2013

Ender's Game Easily Takes the Top Spot

The book-turned-into-a-movie, Ender's Game, took the top spot at the box office this weekend ($28 million).  It's good news to be in first place, but may not be good enough as it reportedly cost $110 million and it's target audience will get dismayed next weekend as Thor: The Dark World hits theaters.

Speaking of Thor: The Dark World, it opened to the tuned of $109.4 million overseas this weekend.

Other newcomers Last Vegas and Free Birds are in a close battle for third place ($16.5 and $16.2 respectively).
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa is holding on strong in second place ($20.5 million).

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Ender's Game
2) Bad Grandpa
3) Last Vegas
4) Free Birds
5) Gravity
6) Captain Phillips
7) 12 Years a Slave
8) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
9) Carrie
10) The Counselor
$28 million
$20.5 million
$16.5 million
$16.2 million
$13.1 million
$8.5 million
$4.6 million
$4.2 million
$3.4 million
$3.3 million
$28 million
$62.1 million
$16.5 million
$16.2 million
$219.2 million
$82.6 million
$8.8 million
$106.2 million
$32 million
$13.4 million
$110 million
$15 million
$28 million
$55 million
$100 million
$55 million
$20 million
$78 million
$30 million
$25 million

Thursday, October 31, 2013

Ender's Game vs Free Birds vs Last Vegas vs Bad Grandpa

Happy Halloween!
A few new movie hit theaters this weekend.

Ender's Game
Hit Factor: I loved the book as a kid.
Flop Factor: I know some gay people and may wait till it's on Bluray.



Free Birds
Hit Factor: Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 is pretty much wrapping up it's box office run.
Flop Factor: A very low marketed animated movie doesn't bode well.



Last Vegas
Hit Factor: The Hangover for older people.
Flop Factor: Honestly looks like a lazy movie, but a fun set to be on.


My Predictions:

Movie
Ender's Game
Bad Grandpa
Gravity
Free Birds
Last Vegas
Weekend Gross (millions)
$25
$18
$16
$14
$14




Sunday, October 27, 2013

Bad Grandpa Takes the Tops Spot from Gravity

Yes, the Jackass spin off, Bad Grandpa, took first place ($32 million) this weekend as Gravity (came back to Earth, returned from space, "insert your pun here")is still putting up some strong numbers ($20.3 million) well into it's 4th week.

Ridley Scott's star studded The Counselor only managed to take in $8 million (far below expectations), for a fourth place finish.  On the bright side, this film reportedly cost $25 million to produce, with major talent taking pay cuts to work with the legendary director.

The new much buzzed about film, 12 Years a Slave managed to crack the top 8 this weekend ($2.2 million) while only being in 123 theaters.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Bad Grandpa
2) Gravity
3) Captain Phillips
4) The Counselor
5) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
6) Carrie
7) Escape Plan
8) 12 Years a Slave
9) Enough Said
10) Prisoners
$32 million
$20.3 million
$11.8 million
$8 million
$6.1 million
$5.9 million
$4.3 million
$2.2 million
$1.6 million
$1.1 million
$32 million
$199.8 million
$70.1 million
$8 million
$100.6 million
$26 million
$17.4 million
$3.4 million
$13 million
$59.1 million
$15 million
$100 million
$55 million
$25 million
$78 million
$30 million
$70 million
n/a
n/a
$46 million


Thursday, October 24, 2013

Bad Grandpa vs The Counselor vs Gravity

It looks like Gravity might finally be dethroned from the box office as one Bad Grandpa comes to town.

Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
Hit Factor: Amidst all the intellectual movies out there, the audience want's something brainless... and the Jackass crew seems to always deliver.
Flop Factor: Take Jackass Presents out of the title, people would ask if this is a sequel to Bad Santa.



The Counselor
Hit Factor: A cast including Michael Fassbender, Cameron Diaz, Penelope Cruz, Javier Bardem and Brad Pitt... directed by Ridley Scott.
Flop Factor: For a cast that big and a legendary director, the buzz seems rather low.



My Predictions:

Movie
Bad Grandpa
Gravity
The Counselor
Captain Phillips
Carrie
Weekend Gross (millions)
$35
$20
$16
$11
$8




Sunday, October 20, 2013

Gravity Holds on to Third Weekend

The Sandra Bullock and George Clooney Space flick, Gravity, easily held on to the top spot at the box office for the third weekend in a row ($31 million).  It's strong word of mouth is helping drive 3D sales.

Captain Phillips held on strong for a second place finish ($17.3 million), narrowly beating out newcomer, Carrie ($17 million).

The Sylvester Stallone and Arnold Scharwzenegger movie Escape Plan came in fifth place ($9.8 million)... pretty much in line with what many analysts were thinking, though far behind what the studios have hoped.

As for The Fifth State, the story about Julian Assange, well... nobody went to see it (well some went to see it), as it debuted in 8th place ($1.7 million)... and many are calling it an instant flop.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Gravity
2) Captain Phillips
3) Carrie
4) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
5) Escape Plan
6) Prisoners
7) Enough Said
8) The Fifth Estate
9) Runner Runner
10) Insidious Chapter 2
$31 million
$17.3 million
$17 million
$10.1 million
$9.8 million
$2.1 million
$1.8 million
$1.7 million
$1.6 million
$1.5 million
$171 million
$53.3 million
$17 million
$93.1 million
$9.8 million
$57.3 million
$10.8 million
$1.7 million
$17.5 million
$80.9 million
$100 million
$55 million
$30 million
$78 million
$70 million
$46 million
n/a
$28 million
$30 million
$5 million

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Carrie vs Escape Plan vs The Fifth Estate vs Gravity

A few new movies hit theaters this weekend each willing to bring Gravity back to Earth.

Carrie
Hit Factor: People are aware of the original...
Flop Factor: Well... this version has no reviews as of yet.



Escape Plan
Hit Factor: Arnold and Sly in a movie together? Yes.
Flop Factor: It would have been awesome if this was the late 80s early 90s.



The Fifth Estate
Hit Factor: A story about Wikileaks could be rather interesting.
Flop Factor: The type of movie that needs good word of mouth to survive, and so-far, it's kinda so-so. And so-so's will get lost amongst more Award seeking (high rated) films like Gravity, Captain Phillips and even limited released films like 12 Years a Slave and Kill Your Darlings.



My Predictions:

Movie
Gravity
Carrie
Captain Phillips
Escape Plan
Cloudy... Meatballs 2
Weekend Gross (millions)
$32
$25
$18
$9
$9