Thursday, January 31, 2013

Warm Bodies vs Bullet to the Head

A couple of new movies hit theaters this weekend.

Warm Bodies
Hit Factor: It looks entertainingly original for a zombie film.
Flop Factor: Must rely on word of mouth... than marketing.



Bullet to the Head
Hit Factor: Stallone making action film again.
Flop Factor: Schwarzenegger's The Last Stand flopped, and that movie looked better.



My Predictions:

Movie
Warm Bodies
Bullet to the Head
Hansel and Gretel
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Weekend Gross (millions)
$18
$10
$7
$6
$6





Sunday, January 27, 2013

Hansel and Gretel Take Over the Box Office


The brother and sister duo action flick, Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters managed to score the top spot at the box office this weekend.  It's current Tomatometer of 15% didn't deter audiences. Parker and Movie 43 underwhelmed, with a 5th and 7th place finish respectively. Yes, Movie 43 only cost $6 million to make, but it's all star cast of cameos couldn't help it propel higher than $5 million this weekend (we could see the year's first Razzie nom(it has really really bad reviews)).

Arnold Schwarzenegger's The Last Stand dropped out of the top 10 to 16th place... which is a sure sign that this film is a disappointment, and unless it does well overseas, this will be a flop.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Hansel and Gretel
2) Mama
3) Silver Linings Playbook
4) Zero Dark Thirty
5) Parker
6) Django Unchained
7) Movie 43
8) Gangster Squad
9) Broken City
10) Les Miserables
$19 million
$12.9 million
$10 million
$9.8 million
$7 million
$5 million
$5 million
$4.2 million
$4 million
$3.9 million
$19 million
$48.6 million
$69.5 million
$39.9 million
$7 million
$146.3 million
$5 million
$39.6 million
$15.3 million
$137.2 million
$50 million
$15 million
$21 million
$40 million
$35 million
$100 million
$6 million
$60 million
$35 million
$61 million

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Hansel & Gretel vs Movie 43 vs Parker

A few new movies enter the box office race this weekend.

Hansel & Gretel: Witch Hunters
Hit Factor: The competition seems kind of weak, even the holdovers.
Flop Factor: I'm not sure this has a strong target audience.



Movie 43
Hit Factor: Trailer looks funny.
Flop Factor: Also have no idea if the movie has any sort of story.



Parker
Hit Factor: Jason Statham in a Jason Statham movie.
Flop Factor: How many times have we seen this movie already?


My Predictions:

Movie
Mama
Hansel & Gretel
Zero Dark Thirty
Silver Linings Playbook
Movie 43
Weekend Gross (millions)
$15
$15
$11
$9
$8





Sunday, January 20, 2013

Mama Easily Terminates The Last Stand

In a very surprising weekend, the Guillermo Del Toro produced Horror flick Mama, easily took the top spot this weekend with $28.1 million.  Zero Dark Thirty came in second with about $17.6 million.  Yes, it was a Jessica Chastain weekend as she is in both of those movies.

Oh Arnold... The Last Stand barely made it into the top 10 with about $6.3 million... much, much lower than expected and could result in 2013's first flop. Luckily, it's not and overly expensive actioner.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Mama
2) Zero Dark Thirty
3) Silver Linings Playbook
4) Gangster Squad
5) Broken City
6) A Haunted House
7) Lincoln
8) Django Unchained
9) Les Miserables
10) The Last Stand
$28.1 million
$17.6 million
$11.4 million
$9.1 million
$9 million
$8.3 million
$6.3 million
$8.2 million
$7.8 million
$6.3 million
$28.1 million
$55.9 million
$55.3 million
$32.2 million
$9 million
$30 million
$152.6 million
$138.4 million
$130.3 million
$6.3 million
$15 million
$40 million
$21 million
$75 million
$35 million
$2.5 million
$65 million
$100 million
$61 million
$45 million

Thursday, January 17, 2013

The Last Stand vs Mama vs Broken City vs Silver Linings Playbook

Ahhnold is back!  Let's see if he can reclaim the box office.

The Last Stand
Hit Factor: It is surprisingly getting good early reviews (79% tomatometer)
Flop Factor: Doesn't seem heavily marketed, for a action film.



Mama
Hit Factor: Guillermo del Toro presents...
Flop Factor: Another low-key Horror flick



Broken City
Hit Factor: Mark Wahlberg and Russell Crowe.
Flop Factor: For a movie with those two stars, the marketing horribly absent. Must not be worth the money.



Silver Linings Playbook
Hit Factor: Doing really well in limited release.
Flop Factor: Has to rely on it's Award nominations because the commercials and trailers don't do anything.



My Predictions:

Movie
Zero Dark Thirty
The Last Stand
Mama
Silver Linings Playbook
Broken City
Weekend Gross (millions)
$16
$16
$14
$12
$11





Tuesday, January 15, 2013

2012 Movie Mini Reviews


Here's my list of and ratings of all the movies of 2012.
I will update this list as much as possible.

Skyfall: B+
Moonrise Kingdom: B+
Django Unchained: B+
The Dark Knight Rises: B+
Life of Pi: B
Zero Dark Thirty: B
The Avengers: B
The Perks of Being a Wallflower: B
Chronicle: B
21 Jump Street: B
Snow White and the Huntsman: B
Argo: B
ParaNorman: B
Hitchcock: B
Frankenweenie: B
Madagascar 3: B
The Hunger Games: B
Silver Linings Playbook: B
Safe House: B
The Hobbit: B
Prometheus: B
Wreck-It Ralph: B
The Impossible: B
Jack Reacher: B
Looper: B
Ted: B
Katy Perry: Part of Me: B
Flight: B
Cloud Atlas: B
End of Watch: B
Secret World of Arriety: B-
The Bourne Legacy: B-
Pitch Perfect: B-
The Expendables 2: B-
The Grey: B-
Les Miserables: B-
Brave: B-
Magic Mike: B-
Rise of the Guardians: B-
Dark Shadows: B-
Taken 2: C+
The Amazing Spiderman: C+
Men In Black 3: C+
Wrath of the Titans: C+
Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter: C+
The Master: C+
John Carter: C+
Act of Valor: C+
Safety Not Guaranteed: C+
Casa De Mi Padre: C+
Haywire: C
Battleship: D

Monday, January 14, 2013

Mini Review: Zero Dark Thirty

Zero Dark Thirty
Pros: Intense, didn't go the Hollywood route.
Cons: Long, heavy.
Conclusion: It's a long, heavy film (which many may not like), but it's intense, well done, and doesn't get overly formulaic like many in this genre.
B

Sunday, January 13, 2013

Zero Dark Thirty Beats the Competition

The critically acclaimed movie, Zero Dark Thirty, easily topped the box office this weekend with about $24 million. A Haunted House and Gangster Squad had to settle for 2nd($18.8 million) and 3rd place($16.7 million).

Last weekends number one, Texas Chainsaw dropped to 9th place, off about 75%, somewhat typical of the Horror genre.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Zero Dark Thirty
2) A Haunted House
3) Gangster Squad
4) Django Unchained
5) Les Miserables
6) The Hobbit
7) Lincoln
8) Parental Guidance
9) Texas Chainsaw 3D
10) Silver Linings Playbook
$24 million
$18.8 million
$16.7 million
$11.1 million
$10.1 million
$9.1 million
$6.3 million
$6.1 million
$5.2 million
$5 million
$29.5 million
$18.8 million
$16.7million
$125.4 million
$119.2 million
$278.1 million
$152.6 million
$60.7 million
$30.8 million
$41.3 million
$40 million
$2.5 million
$75 million
$100 million
$61 million
$180 million
$65 million
$25 million
$20 million
$21 million

Thursday, January 10, 2013

Zero Dark Thirty vs Gangster Squad vs A Haunted House

A few new movies open this weekend, including one oscar-buzzed film into wide release.

Zero Dark Thirty
Hit Factor: Has all the buzz of Awards Season.
Flop Factor: US senators have called the film "grossly inaccurate."



Gangster Squad
Hit Factor: Trailer looks entertaining. Great cast.
Flop Factor: Only getting a mediocre 51% tomatometer from early reviews.



A Haunted House
Hit Factor: This family created the original Scary Movie and that did well.
Flop Factor: Marketing seems a bit weak on this one.



My Predictions:

Movie
Zero Dark Thirty
Gangster Squad
A Haunted House
Django Unchained
The Hobbit
Weekend Gross (millions)
$27
$20
$16
$12
$11





Sunday, January 6, 2013

Texas Chainsaw 3D Beats out Django and The Hobbit

In a somewhat unexpected move, the poorly reviewed Texas Chainsaw 3D, managed to buzz by Django Unchained and The Hobbit for the top spot at the box office this weekend.

In other news, The Hobbit is inching closer towards the $1 Billion mark, as it now stands at $820 million worldwide.  Though, it's journey is expected to end short of that milestone.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Texas Chainsaw 3D
2) Django Unchained
3) The Hobbit
4) Les Miserables
5) Parental Guidance
6) Jack Reacher
7) This is 40
8) Lincoln
9) The Guilt Trip
10) Promised Land
$23 million
$20.1 million
$17.5 million
$16.1 million
$10.1 million
$9.3 million
$8.6 million
$5.3 million
$4.5 million
$4.3 million
$23 million
$106.4 million
$263.8 million
$103.6 million
$52.8 million
$64.8 million
$54.5 million
$143.9 million
$31.2 million
$4.6 million
$20 million
$100 million
$180 million (est)
$61 million
$25 million
$60 million
$35 million
$65 million
$40 million
$15 million

Friday, January 4, 2013

10 Biggest Box Office Flops of 2012

So it's getting harder and harder for movies to flop since the rise in Foreign box office figures. Still, there are a few movies where that luxury doesn't help too much... and thus, they become disappointments. Usually, a movie studio and distributor well get back around 50 - 60% of the total gross of the movie, while the rest will go to the exhibitors. So, most movies grosses need to at least double the budget in order for a real profit. So for something like John Carter, Disney probably expected a gross north of $500 million worldwide, which in reality, fell way short of that..  This is also not taking into consideration marketing and advertising costs.

Here are the 10 Biggest Box Office Flops of 2012:



10) Playback
Budget: $7.5 Million
Domestic Gross: $264.00 (yes, you read right)
Foreign Gross: n/a
Total Gross: $264.00
9) Won't Back Down
Budget: $19 Million
Domestic Gross: $5.3 million
Foreign Gross: n/a
Total Gross: $5.2 million
8) Playing For Keeps
Budget: $35 Million
Domestic Gross: $12.7 million
Foreign Gross: n/a
Total Gross: $12.7 million
7) Chasing Mavericks
Budget: $20 Million
Domestic Gross: $5.9 million
Foreign Gross: n/a
Total Gross: $5.9 million
6) Dredd
Budget: $50 Million
Domestic Gross: $13.4 million
Foreign Gross: $17.5 million
Total Gross: $30.9 million
5) A Thousand Words
Budget: $40 Million
Domestic Gross: $18.5 million
Foreign Gross: $2.1 million
Total Gross: $20.6 million
4) Cloud Atlas
Budget: $102 Million
Domestic Gross: $26.7 million
Foreign Gross: $39 million
Total Gross: $65.7 million
3) Battleship
Budget: $209 Million
Domestic Gross: $65.2 million
Foreign Gross: $237.6 million
Total Gross: $297.8 million
2) John Carter
Budget: $250 Million
Domestic Gross: $73.1 million
Foreign Gross: $209.7 million
Total Gross: $282.8 million
1) Oogieloves In the BIG Balloon Adventure
Budget: $20 Million
Domestic Gross: $1.1 million
Foreign Gross: n/a
Total Gross: $1.1 million

Box office flops of 2012 list.

Thursday, January 3, 2013

Texas Chainsaw 3D vs The Impossible vs Promised Land

One new movie hits theaters this first weekend of 2013 and a couple of other roll out into wide expansion.

Texas Chainsaw 3D
Hit Factor: The poorly reviewed The Devil Inside came out the same weekend last year and made $33.7 million.
Flop Factor: What number are they on?



The Impossible
Hit Factor: Looks like a good drama.
Flop Factor: Will people want to go the movies to cry?



Promised Land
Hit Factor: Matt Damon
Flop Factor: Looks like one of those Oscar contenders that didn't quite hit the mark.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hobbit
Django Unchained
Texas Chainsaw 3D
Les Miserables
Promised Land
Weekend Gross (millions)
$17
$15
$15
$14
$7