Thursday, February 28, 2013

Jack the Giant Slayer vs 21 And Over vs Last Exorcism 2

A few new movies hit theaters this weekend.

Jack the Giant Slayer
Hit factor: There is no competition. Early reviews are actually better than expected.
Flop Factor: Well... It doesn't have a strong target audience... reportedly cost around $200 million... Got pushed from last Summer's line up. Originally called Jack the Giant Killer, but changed to Giant Slayer as to not be so violent sounding, and appeal to a wider audience... People are already buzzing John Carter when talking about this film.



21 and Over
Hit Factor: Probably really really low budget.
Flop Factor: There is no name stars on this film... riding only on "from the creators of The Hangover."



The Last Exorcism Part 2
Hit Factor: Scary movies tend to make their money back, because they're relatively cheap.
Flop Factor: There has been way to many scary movies already released this year, and I always forget there were.



My Predictions:

Movie
Jack the Giant Slayer
21 and Over
The Last Exorcism 2
Identity Thief
Snitch
Weekend Gross (millions)
$24
$15
$11
$9
$8




Sunday, February 24, 2013

Identity Thief Reclaims Top Spot

The Melissa McCarthy and Jason Bateman comedy Identity Thief ($14.1 million) is back at the top of the box office this weekend, as it just edged out Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson's Snitch (13 million).  Identity Thief has surprisingly strong legs for a movie with largely negative reviews (24% tomatometer).

The Weinstein Company's animated flick Escape From Planet Earth ($11 million) is holding on pretty strong for a movie that's not Disney, Pixar, Dreamworks or Fox and also getting piss-poor reviews.

However, one movie that is having it's legs cut out from under it, possibly due to bad reviews (16% Tomatometer), is A Good Day to Die Hard, which dropped about 60% from last weekend to finish in 5th place ($10 million).  It's a good bet that this latest Die Hard will be the lowest grossing in the series domestically.

As for that scary movie that came out, Dark Skies, it debuted in 6th for almost $9 million, which isn't very much.  But since the movie reportedly cost $3.5 million to produce, it's already a profit.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Identity Thief
2) Snitch
3) Escape From Planet Earth
4) Safe Haven
5) A Good Day to Die Hard
6) Dark Skies
7) Silver Linings Playbook
8) Warm Bodies
9) Side Effects
10) Beautiful Creatures
$14.1 million
$13 million
$11 million
$10.6 million
$10 million
$8.9 million
$6.1 million
$4.8 million
$3.5 million
$3.4 million
$93.7 million
$13 million
$35.1 million
$48.1 million
$51.8 million
$8.9 million
$107.5 million
$58.3 million
$25.3 million
$16.4 million
$35 million
$35 million
$40 million
$28 million
$92 million
$3.5 million
$21 million
$30 million
$30 million
$60 million

Thursday, February 21, 2013

Snitch vs Dark Skies vs Die Hard 5

A couple of new movies open this post Presidents Day weekend.

Snitch
Hit Factor: The Rock
Flop Factor: I just wanna see Fast and Furious 6 already.



Dark Skies
Hit Factor: Probably low budget.
Flop Factor: I think we're already tired of weekly horror films that all seem to be the same thing.



My Predictions:

Movie
A Good Day to Die Hard
Identity Thief
Snitch
Safe Haven
Dark Skies
Weekend Gross (millions)
$15
$14
$11
$11
$8






Sunday, February 17, 2013

Die Hard 5 Narrowly Edges Out the Competition


The latest installment of the Die Hard franchise, A Good Day to Die Hard ($25 million), barely beat out holdover, Identity Thief ($23.4 million), and newcomer, Safe Haven ($21.4 million).  A Good Day to Die Hard had a strong Valentine's Day opening ($8.2 million), but somewhat underwhelmed throughout the weekend.  By comparison, Live Free or Die Hard generated $33.2 million on opening weekend in 2007.

Identity Thief is surprisingly holding on strong (down 32%), especially for a movie with a 24% tomatometer.  It may become this year's first movie to past $100 million.

Escape From Planet Earth debuted in 4th ($16.1 million), and Beautiful Creatures in 6th ($7.5 million), which is no doubt a disappointment, especially with a pretty noticeable marketing push.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) A Good Day to Die Hard
2) Identity Thief
3) Safe Haven
4) Escape From Planet Earth
5) Warm Bodies
6) Beautiful Creatures
7) Side Effects
8) Silver Linings Playbook
9) Hansel and Gretel
10) Zero Dark Thirty
$25 million
$23.4 million
$21.4 million
$16.1 million
$9 million
$7.5 million
$6.3 million
$6.1 million
$3.5 million
$3.1 million
$33.2 million
$70.7 million
$30.3 million
$16.1 million
$50.2 million
$10 million
$19.1 million
$98.5 million
$49.7 million
$88 million
$92 million
$35 million
$28 million
$40 million
$30 million
$60 million
$30 million
$21 million
$50 million
$40 million

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Die Hard 5 vs Beautiful Creatures vs Safe Haven vs Escape From Planet Earth

A bunch of movies hit theaters this weekend, being Valentine's and all.

A Good Day to Die Hard (Seriously why don't they just call it Die Hard 5 already?)
Hit Factor: Strong franchise...
Flop Factor: The Planet Hollywood club hasn't been doing well so far this year (Arnold's and Stallone's movies have flopped miserably). Also, this Die Hard is getting some of the worst reviews of the year so far (Yes, a current 7%(you read right, 7%!!!) tomatometer).

Beautiful Creatures
Hit Factor: Based off a series of somewhat successful books.
Flop Factor: I keep thinking this has something to do with the Peter Jackson movie, Heavenly Creatures, but it doesn't.

Safe Haven
Hit Factor: Love story on Valentine's...
Flop Factor: I seriously have no idea what this movie is about... does it have something to do with The Notebook and all those other films?

Escape From Planet Earth
Hit Factor: No animated flick competitors.
Flop Factor: Isn't this around the time when that animated movie Mars Needs Moms came out? If so, it might not bode well for this film.

My Predictions:

Movie
A Good Day to Die Hard
Beautiful Creatures
Identity Thief
Safe Haven
Escape From Planet Earth
Weekend Gross (millions)
$40
$19
$16
$15
$12





Sunday, February 10, 2013

Identity Thief Laughs It's Way to the Top

The Melissa McCarthy and Jason Bateman comedy Identity Thief easily beat expectations this weekend (with about $36.6 million) to claim the top spot at the box office.  This also beats the opening of Bridesmaids ($26 million), which catapulted McCarthy's career. However, Identity Thief is getting bad reviews (currently a 24% tomatometer) so it's staying power may be short lived.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Identity Thief
2) Warm Bodies
3) Side Effects
4) Silver Linings Playbook
5) Hansel and Gretel
6) Mama
7) Zero Dark Thirty
8) Argo
9) Django Unchained
10) Bullet to the Head
$36.6 million
$11.5 million
$10 million
$6.9 million
$5.8 million
$4.3 million
$4 million
$2.5 million
$2.3 million
$2.0 million
$36.6 million
$36.7 million
$10 million
$90 million
$43.8 million
$64 million
$83.6 million
$123.7 million
$154.5 million
$8.2 million
$35 million
$30 million
$30 million
$21 million
$50 million
$15 million
$40 million
$44.5 million
$100 million
$55 million

Friday, February 8, 2013

Mini Movie Review: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Pros: Epic. Design. Locations.
Cons: Long. Too much saved by the calvary moments. Has to compete on the level of The Lord of the Rings films.
Conclusion: If you want to see what happens before The Lord of the Rings, then this film would be an okay treat.
B

Thursday, February 7, 2013

Identity Thief vs Side Effects

A couple of new movies hit theaters in wide release this weekend.

Identity Thief
Hit Factor: Buzz seems pretty good despite the mediocre early reviews.
Flop Factor: Mediocre early reviews.



Side Effects
Hit Factor: It's getting positive early reviews.
Flop Factor: People don't know this movie exists.



My Predictions:

Movie
Identity Thief
Warm Bodies
Side Effects
Hansel and Gretel
Silver Linings Playbook
Weekend Gross (millions)
$22
$14
$10
$5
$5





Wednesday, February 6, 2013

Predictions: 25 Most Anticipated Movies of 2013


There are a whole lot of movies hitting theaters this 2013.

Lots of franchise sequels prequels and reboots ahead.  In fact they pretty much make up my top 10 list.  Tracking this list, this early in the year, is tough, especially since marketing changes in the weeks right up to release.  We'll probably see some films gain a lot of steam and others dissipate. Some may end up as this year's John Carter or Battleship.  And predicting those huge breakout hits like Bridesmaids or The Help, or Ted, is almost impossible. Anyways, here are the most anticipated movies of 2013 that should take the box office by storm.  Also note this prediction is mostly for North America, but I assume it would be somewhat similar worldwide.

25) Oblivion
This movie looks cool. The question is if Tom Cruise can bank a Sci-Fi movie.
$100 million

24) 47 Ronin
This movie is over-budget and in reshoot hell... could be a huge flop or...
Gross: $110 million

23) Elysium
Can the director of District 9 pull another District 9? Here's betting for him.
Gross: $115 million

22) The Smurfs 2
Let's face it, families will see this film.
Gross: $120 million

21) Ender's Game
Great book. A tough one to turn into movie, but we'll see if they can.
Gross: $120 million

20) Sin City: A Dame to Kill For
How long has it been since Sin City came out? Will people still want to watch this? Should have a strong opening weekend.
Gross: $125 million

19) Oz: The Great and Powerful
Pitch: It's like Alice in Wonderland meets Wizard of Oz... green lit. This actually has the potential to do really well.
Gross: $130 million

18)  The Great Gatsby
Baz Luhrmann's strong vision should encourage lots of people to watch this drama.
Gross: $130 million

17) G.I. Joe: Retaliation
I liked the first two trailers they released... The newest one, however, makes it look pretty bad.
Gross: $130 million

16) After Earth
Trailer looks awesome. Will Smith is mostly bankable... but will people want to watch just two characters onscreen for the entire film?
Gross: $135 million

15) Anchorman: The Legend Continues
Sequel to one of Will Ferell's best comedies.  Returns with the original cast including Steve Carrell.
Gross: $140 million

14) Thor: The Dark World
The first did unexpectedly well... The Avengers did really well... people want to follow stories.
Gross: $145 million

13) The Wolverine
X-Men Origins: Wolverine was awful... but Wolverine has it's fans.
Gross: $150 million

12) World War Z
I Am Legend with Brad Pitt.
Gross: $160 million

11) Pacific Rim
The trailer looks dumb... but in an awesome way. The guilty pleasure movie of the Summer.
Gross: $160 million

10) Lone Ranger
Director Gore Verbinski and Johnny Depp's big risk film that almost never got made. Hrmm.
Gross: $200 million

9) The Hangover 3
The Hangover franchise may have peaked, but lots of fans will see this film.
Gross: $230 million

8) Despicable Me 2
Beloved characters return, and so will the kids.
Gross: $250 million

7) Star Trek: Into Darkness
J.J. Abrams got non-Star Trek fans to watch Star Trek.
Gross: $250 million

6) Fast & Furious 6
This series got some late steam and if they keep the awesome formula, it should do very well.
Gross: $260 million

5) Monsters University
Hoping to break Pixar's downward slope, a sequel to one of best Pixar's best movies should help.
Gross: $280 million

4) Iron Man 3
The Last Iron Man wasn't that great... but The Avengers movie showed that Marvel has created a huge following despite.
Gross: $300 million

3) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
The First Hunger Games film did exceptionally well, almost too well... so it's going to be tough to match.
Gross: $300 million

2) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
The mediocre reviews of the first Hobbit film may deter some, but most will still flock to this film in the Holiday Season.
Gross: $325 million

1) Man of Steel
Superman is back... Trailer looks awesome. The tone is great.  People will forget about Superman Returns.
Gross: $350 million

Sunday, February 3, 2013

Warm Bodies Takes Top Spot at Box Office

The Romantic Zombie Comedy Warm Bodies easily managed to take the top spot at the box office this weekend ($19.5 million).  While Stallone's Bullet to the Head failed to deliver an audience as it came in 6th place ($4.5 million).  Maybe the third Planet Hollywood co-founder, Bruce Willlis, will have better luck in a couple of weeks when his fifth installment of the Die Hard series debuts.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Warm Bodies
2) Hansel and Gretel
3) Silver Linings Playbook
4) Mama
5) Zero Dark Thirty
6) Bullet to the Head
7) Parker
8) Django Unchained
9) Les Miserables
10) Lincoln
$19.5 million
$9.2 million
$8.1 million
$6.7 million
$5.3 million
$4.5 million
$3.2 million
$3 million
$2.4 million
$2.4 million
$20 million
$34.5 million
$80.4 million
$58.3 million
$77.8 million
$4.5 million
$12.4 million
$151 million
$141.5 million
$170.8 million
$30 million
$50 million
$21 million
$15 million
$40 million
$55 million
$35million
$100 million
$61 million
$65 million