Sunday, March 31, 2013

G.I. Joe: Retaliation Easily Tops Box Office


The second in the franchise, G.I. Joe: Retaliation, debuted at the top of the box office this weekend ($41.2 million).  The decision to delay it from last Summer's line up, might have helped.

Meanwhile, Tyler Perry's Temptation, surprisingly nabbed 3rd place with a strong $22.3 million, just behind The Croods' $26.5 million.  A surprise, because Tyler Perry movies seem to be on a fatigue factor, as of late.

The Stephanie Meyer flick, The Host, managed a 6th place finish with $11 million.  Which is no where near the level of Twilight, even with a director on board that is probably better than anyone who directed the Twilight series.  It's safe to say striking gold twice is a rather rare occurrence.

All I do know is that these three new movies are some of the worst reviewed movies of the year: G.I. Joe: Retaliation (29% tomatometer), Temptation (16% tomatometer), and The Host (12% tomatometer).


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) G.I. Joe: Retaliation
2) The Croods
3) Temptation
4) Olympus Has Fallen
5) Oz
6) The Host
7) The Call
8) Admission
9) Spring Breakers
10) Incredible Burt Wonderstone 
$41.2 million
$26.5 million
$22.3 million
$14 million
$11.6 million
$11 million
$4.8 million
$3.3 million
$2.8 million
$1.3 million
$51.7 million
$88.6 million
$22.3 million
$54.7 million
$198.3 million
$11 million
$39.5 million
$11.8 million
$10.1 million
$20.5 million
$130 million
$135 million
n/a
$70 million
$215 million
$40 million
$13 million
$13 million
$5 million
$30 million

Thursday, March 28, 2013

G.I. Joe: Retaliation vs The Host vs Temptation

A few new movies hit theaters this weekend.

G.I. Joe: Retaliation
Hit Factor: The Rock... looks like a ridiculous, fun action flick.
Flop Factor: People expecting it to be a good, thought-provoking film.  Was pushed from last Summer's line-up and reshot. I still feel it should be a Summer film.



The Host
Hit Factor: From the author of Twilight... Directed by Andrew Niccol, who directed thought provoking films Gattaca and In Time.
Flop Factor: From the author of Twilight.



Temptation
Hit Factor: Tyler Perry still has some value
Flop Factor: Tyler Perry's value has pretty much plateaued.


My Predictions:

Movie
G.I. Joe: Retaliation
The Croods
The Host
Olympus Has Fallen
Temptation
Weekend Gross (millions)
$40
$26
$20
$15
$12




Sunday, March 24, 2013

The Croods Debuts Strongly in First Place


The Prehistoric animated flick, The Croods, easily took the top spot at the box office this weekend ($44.7 million), while the Gerard Butler Actioner, Olympus Has Fallen took in a strong $30.5 million for second place.

Meanwhile, the Tina Fey comedy, Admission, managed to scoop up $6.4 million for a so-so 5th place. With it only costing about $13 million, it won't be much of a loss... might actually even turn a profit.

The Indie film Spring Breakers nabbed 6th place for $5 million.  The buzz on this film is substantial since it only cost $2 million to produce and is only in about 1000 theaters.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Croods
2) Olympus Has Fallen
3) Oz 
4) The Call
5) Admission
6) Spring Breakers
7) Incredible Burt Wonderstone
8) Jack the Giant Slayer
9) Identity Thief
10) Snitch
$44.7 million
$30.5 million
$22 million
$8.7 million
$6.5 million
$5 million
$4.3 million
$3 million
$2.5 million
$1.9 million
$44.7 million
$30.5 million
$177.6 million
$30.9 million
$6.5 million
$5.4 million
$17.4 million
$59 million
$127.2 million
$40.3 million
$135 million
$70 million
$215 million
$13 million
$13 million
$2 million
$30 million
$195 million
$21 million
$15 million


Thursday, March 21, 2013

The Croods vs Olympus vs Admission vs Spring Breakers

A few new movies hit theaters this Spring Break weekend looking to dethrone Oz The Great and Powerful

The Croods
Hit Factor: Hasn't been an animated feature in some time... Getting pretty good early reviews (81% tomatometer)
Flop Factor: Really didn't think this movie would have an steam, until I saw the positive reviews.



Admission
Hit Factor: Tina Fey movies are usually fun.
Flop Factor: Early reviews haven't been as positive as one would expect from a Tina Fey film.



Olympus Has Fallen
Hit Factor: Gerald Butler is the only man that can United States.
Flop Factor: Umm... there's the whole logistics and ridiculousness plausibility factor.


Spring Breakers
Hit Factor: Got some positive reviews.  Girls in bikinis.
Flop Factor: I have feeling people that want to see the movie because of the poster maybe disappointed.




My Predictions:

Movie
The Croods
Oz
Olympus Has Fallen
Admission
The Call
Weekend Gross (millions)
$41
$26
$18
$12
$9




Sunday, March 17, 2013

Oz Tops Second Weekend, while Burt Wonderstone Fails to Find Magic

Oz The Great and Powerful easily topped the box office in it's second weekend of release, with about $42.2 million.  Meanwhile, Steve Carrell's and Jim Carrey's The Incredible Burt Wonderstone underperformed so much ($10 million), that it had to settle for third place behind The Call (which over-performed to the tuned of $17.1 million).  It was rather shocking that Burt Wonderstone did so poorly, especially with Steve Carrell and Jim Carrey teaming up.  The C+ cinemascore probably didn't help.  Well, the brightside to this, is that Burt Wonderstone won't be a huge flop because it only cost $30 million, compared to other films of this nature.  It probably won't even end up on the biggest flops of the year list, but maybe on the huge disappointments list.

Oz The Great and Powerful is now the biggest movie of 2013 ($145 million), domestically, beating out Identity Thief's $123.7 million.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Oz 
2) The Call
3) Burt Wonderstone
4) Jack the Giant Slayer
5) Identity Thief
6) Snitch
7) 21 and Over
8) Silver Linings Playbook
9) Safe Haven
10) Escape From Planet Earth
$42.2 million
$17.1 million
$10.3 million
$6.2 million
$4.5 million
$3.5 million
$2.6 million
$2.6 million
$2.5 million
$2.3 million
$145 million
$17.1 million
$10.3 million
$53.9 million
$123.7 million
$37.3 million
$21.9 million
$124.6 million
$67 million
$52.2 million
$215 million
$13 million
$30 million
$195 million
$35 million
$15 million
$13 million
$21 million
$28 million
$40 million


Thursday, March 14, 2013

Burt Wonderstone vs The Call vs Oz

A couple new movies open this weekend, looking to give Oz the Great and Powerful some competition.

The Incredible Burt Wonderstone
Hit Factor: Jim Carrey, Steve Carrell
Flop Factor: It's going to need strong word of mouth to hear above the Oz noise.



The Call
Hit Factor: Fairly low budget ($13 million)
Flop Factor:  People laughed in the theater when this trailer played.



My Predictions:

Movie
Oz
Burt Wonderstone
The Call
Jack the Giant Slayer
Identity Thief
Weekend Gross (millions)
$45
$24
$8
$5
$5




Sunday, March 10, 2013

Oz The Great and Powerful Destroy's Box Office with $80 million

Oz the Great and Powerful , the prequel to The Wizard of Oz, accompanied by an Alice in Wonderland style tie-in, paid off magically as Disney, again, hits the sweet spot: the money spot.

Expect Oz to stay strong throughout the next coming weeks, as the competition seems fairly weak in comparison.

And as expected, last week's number one film, Jack the Giant Slayer, tumbled, tripped, fell, from the beanstalk, to over 60% for a distant second ($10 million).  It will have a tough time turing a profit against it's $195 million budget.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Oz 
2) Jack the Giant Slayer
3) Identity Thief
4) Dead Man Down
5) Snitch
6) 21 and Over
7) Safe Haven
8) Silver Linings Playbook
9) Escape From Planet Earth
10) The Last Exorcism 2
$80.3 million
$10 million
$6.3 million
$5.4 million
$5.1 million
$5.1 million
$3.8 million
$3.7 million
$3.2 million
$3.1 million
$80.3 million
$43 million
$116.5 million
$5.4 million
$31.9 million
$16.8 million
$62.9 million
$120.7 million
$47.8 million
$12.1 million
$215 million
$195 million
$35 million
$30 million
$15 million
$13 million
$28 million
$21 million
$40 million
$5 million


Thursday, March 7, 2013

Oz the Great and Powerful Ready to Ignite Box Office

One really expensive movie hits theaters this weekend, looking to cash in on the current box office lull.

Oz the Great and Powerful
Hit Factor: It's Wizard of Oz meets Alice in Wonderland... that smells of money.
Flop Factor: Trailer doesn't look all that exciting... seems miscast.  Alice in Wonderland had the buzz of  Tim Burton and Johnny Depp.  This looks like it's trying too hard to be that.



Dead Man Down
Hit Factor: Looks interesting... From the director of the original Girl with the Dragon Tattoo series.
Flop Factor: The buzz in Hollywood is gravitating towards Oz and how Jack the Giant Slayer is this year's John Carter.



My Predictions:

Movie
Oz
Jack the Giant Slayer
Dead Man Down
Identity Thief
21 and Over
Weekend Gross (millions)
$70
$12
$8
$7
$5




Sunday, March 3, 2013

Jack the Giant Slayer Kills the Weak Competition

Jack and the Giant Slayer easily took the top of the box office this weekend ($28 million).  However, that may not be a big enough start to recoup it's reported $190 million budget.  Many were predicting it to be this year's John Carter or Battleship... and it might just be.

It also doesn't help that Oz comes out next weekend, which will more that likely, take most of Jack's audience.

Identity Thief is still holding strong($9.7 million) with only a 30% drop from last weekend, to come in second.  The poorly reviewed comedy has strong legs and is the first movie of 2013 to pass the $100 million mark domestically.

A Good Day to Die Hard is officially a disappointment domestically, as it continues to fall dramatically at the box office.  It will probably end up short of the original Die Hard's $83 million, which came out back in 1988. Luckily, it has a strong overseas following, where it has already made over $161.5 million.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Jack the Giant Slayer
2) Identity Thief
3) 21 and Over
4) The Last Exorcism Part 2
5) Snitch
6) Escape From Planet Earth
7) Safe Haven
8) Silver Linings Playbook
9) A Good Day to Die Hard
10) Dark Skies
$28 million
$9.7 million
$9 million
$8 million
$7.7 million
$6.7 million
$6.3 million
$5.9 million
$4.5 million
$3.6 million
$28 million
$107.4 million
$9 million
$8 million
$24.4 million
$43.2 million
$57.1 million
$115.5 million
$59.6 million
$13.5 million
$195 million
$35 million
$13 million
$5 million
$15 million
$40 million
$28 million
$21 million
$92 million
$3.5 million