Sunday, July 28, 2013

The Wolverine Slices to the Top Spot

The Wolverine easily took the top spot at the box office this weekend ($55 million), though it's debut is the lowest since the first X-Men movie 13 years ago.  Overseas, it managed to bring in a huge $86.1 million for a worldwide total of $141.1 million.  The Wolverine should do decently well over the upcoming weeks as it does have positive word of mouth.

In other news, Despicable Me 2 has crossed the $300 million mark domestically and so far has made $661 million worldwide.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Wolverine
2) The Conjuring
3) Despicable Me 2
4) Turbo
5) Grown Ups 2
6) Red 2
7) Pacific Rim
8) The Heat
9) R.I.P.D.
10) Fruitvale Station
$55 million
$22.1 million
$16 million
$13.3 million
$11.5 million
$9.4 million
$7.5 million
$6.9 million
$5.9 million
$4.7 million
$55 million
$83.9 million
$306.4 million
$55.8 million
$101.7 million
$35.1 million
$84 million
$141.2 million
$24.4 million
$6.3 million
$120 million
$20 million
$76 million
$80 million
$80 million
$84 million
$190 million
$43 million
$130 million
n/a

Thursday, July 25, 2013

The Wolverine Looks For Box Office Gold

The Wolverine is the only movie that opens in wide release this weekend.

The Wolverine
Hit Factor: Well, it looks a lot better than X-Men Origins: Wolverine.
Flop Factor: Many people were put off by the "Origins" movie.




My Predictions:

Movie
The Wolverine
The Conjuring
Despicable Me 2
Turbo
Grown Ups 2
Weekend Gross (millions)
$60
$20
$18
$15
$10




Sunday, July 21, 2013

The Conjuring Scares Up the Box Office

The Conjuring scared the pants off of movie goers this weekend as it debuted at the top spot of the box office. It's $41.5 million take is a lot more than many expected.

As for the other newcomers, well... they pretty much underperformed.  Turbo and Red 2 made $21.5 million and $18.5 million respectively.  Turbo's lackluster debut is also one of Dreamworks Animtation's lowest.  But, there might be some light ahead overseas, as it made $22.6 million in just 25% of the marketplace. As for Red 2, it's $18.5 million is just short of the original Red's $21.7 million.

Now, I guess I cannot, not, talk about the elephant in the room, which is R.I.P.D. It opened in 7th place with $12.8 million... and will probably go one the list as one of 2013's flops. Unless, of course, it magically makes a lot of money overseas. What's interesting to note here, is that the director of R.I.P.D., Robert Schwentke, directed the first Red movie.

And don't count out Pacific Rim weak domestic performance ($16 million this weekend) just yet, as the overseas market is holding strong. It grossed $34.8 million and already has a worldwide total of $178.5 million.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Conjuring
2) Despicable Me 2
3) Turbo
4) Grown Ups 2
5) Red 2
6) Pacific Rim
7) R.I.P.D.
8) The Heat
9) World War Z
10) Monsters University
$41.5 million
$25.1 million
$21.5 million
$20 million
$18.5 million
$16 million
$12.8 million
$9.3 million
$5.2 million
$5 million
$41.5 million
$276.2 million
$31.2 million
$79.5 million
$18.5 million
$68.2 million
$12.8 million
$129.3 million
$186.9 million
$249 million
$20 million
$76 million
$135 million
$80 million
$84 million
$190 million
$130 million
$43 million
$190 million
n/a


Thursday, July 18, 2013

The Conjuring vs Turbo vs Red 2 vs R.I.P.D.

A slew of new movies open on this random Summer weekend.

The Conjuring
Hit Factor: Getting good reviews for a Horror movie.  Last minute buzz could bump it like The Purge earlier this Summer.
Flop Factor: Horror movies usually are only good for one weekend.


Turbo
Hit Factor: Dreamworks seems to have gotten the right formula for animated films.
Flop Factor: I feel this movie is released too close on the heels of Despicable Me, while Monsters University is also still hanging around.


Red 2
Hit Factor: The cast
Flop Factor: I honestly didn't think the first one wasn't that great... this one looks less interesting.


R.I.P.D.
Hit Factor: It cost a lot of money.
Flop Factor: Take the plot from Men In Black and instead of aliens, make them ghosts... Swap Will Smith and Tommy Lee Jones for Ryan Reynolds and Jeff Bridges.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Conjuring
Despicable Me 2
Turbo
Red 2
Pacific Rim
Weekend Gross (millions)
$30
$25
$24
$23
$17




Sunday, July 14, 2013

Despicable Me 2 Holds On to the Top Spot

Despicable Me 2 just barely held on to the top spot for the second weekend in a row ($44.8 million) as Grown Ups 2 ($42.5 million) and Pacific Rim ($38.3 million) trail right behind.

Pacific Rim looked like it was going to pull ahead late last week as the reviews for the film have been mostly positive and it took in a decent Thursday night start. However, that since has tapered off over the course of the weekend.  All things considered, $38.3 million isn't a bad start, but considering Pacific Rim reportedly cost $190 million to make, means a giant uphill battle.  On the plus side, this movie may do well overseas, as it has already made $53 million.

What's more surprising is despite it's horrid reviews (7% tomatometer), Grown Ups 2 managed a strong second place (even $2 million more than the first Grown Ups).  This is probably one of the highest debuting worst reviewed movies of all time.

As for The Lone Ranger, Disney's hopes for it having some sort of legs are dashed as it dropped over 60% this weekend. Largely due to media dissing it from the start.  So expect Disney to make a huge write off... and more unwarranted sequels for Alice in Wonderland and Pirates of Caribbean.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Despicable Me 2
2) Grown Ups 2
3) Pacific Rim
4) The Heat
5) The Lone Ranger
6) Monsters University
7) World War Z
8) White House Down
9) Kevin Hart: Let Me Explain
10) Man of Steel
$44.8 million
$42.5 million
$38.3 million
$14 million
$11.1 million
$10.6 million
$9.4 million
$6.2 million
$5 million
$4.8 million
$229.2 million
$42.5 million
$38.3 million
$112.4 million
$71.1 million
$237.8 million
$177.1 million
$63 million
$26.4 million
$281 million
$76 million
$80 million
$190 million
$43 million
$215 million
n/a
$190 million
$150 million
n/a
$225 million


Thursday, July 11, 2013

Pacific Rim vs Grown Ups 2 vs Despicable Me

A couple of new movies hit theaters this weekend.

Pacific Rim
Hit Factor: There's a lot of 14 year old boys out there. Getting positive early reviews (75% tomato meter).
Flop Factor: Most of the movie going public thinks it looks stupid.

Grown Ups 2
Hit Factor: The first Grown Ups made a lot of money.
Flop Factor: More like a "I'll catch it on Netflix type of film."



My Predictions:

Movie
Pacific Rim
Despicable Me
Grown Ups 2
The Heat
The Lone Ranger
Weekend Gross (millions)
$45
$43
$38
$15
$13




Sunday, July 7, 2013

Despicable Me Crushes the Competition, While The Lone Ranger Fizzles


Despicable Me 2 easily took the top spot at the box office this 4th of July weekend ($82.5 million) with a five day total of $142.1 million.  This is just ahead of what Toy Story 3 did in it's first five days.

Disney's The Lone Ranger, on the other hand, could only muster up $29.4 million for a five day total of $48.9 million.  Which would be great if it cost under a $100 million to produce (it's reported to cost $215 million).  Unless Johnny Depp's worldwide appeal can aid in the overseas marketplace, The Lone Ranger may be Disney's biggest flop since John Carter.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Despicable Me 2
2) The Lone Ranger
3) The Heat
4) Monsters University
5) World War Z
6) White House Down
7) Man of Steel
8) Kevin Hart: Let Me Explain
9) This is the End
10) Now You See Me
$82.5 million
$29.4 million
$25 million
$19.6 million
$18.2 million
$13.5 million
$11.4 million
$10.1 million
$5.8 million
$2.8 million
$142.1 million
$48.9 million
$86.4 million
$216.1 million
$158.8 million
$50.5 million
$271.2 million
$17.5 million
$85.6 million
$110.4 million
$76 million
$215 million
$43 million
n/a
$190 million
$150 million
$225 million
n/a
$32 million
$75 million



Thursday, July 4, 2013

Despicable Me 2 vs The Lone Ranger

A couple of high profile movies hit theaters this 4th of July weekend.

Despicable Me 2
Hit Factor: The first one did really well.
Flop Factor: Monsters University came out just 2 weeks ago... This movie is not gonna flop.



The Lone Ranger
Hit Factor: The team behind Pirates of the Caribbean.
Flop Factor: Plagued production from the start... So, they're hoping to pull a World War Z here... Don't think it's gonna happen (in the States at least) because of the really bad reviews (22% tomatometer) for a $200 million plus movie that's not a sequel or part of a larger franchise.



My Predictions:

Movie
Despicable Me
The Lone Ranger
Monsters University
The Heat
World War Z
Weekend Gross (millions)
$75
$35
$25
$24
$17