Thursday, October 31, 2013

Ender's Game vs Free Birds vs Last Vegas vs Bad Grandpa

Happy Halloween!
A few new movie hit theaters this weekend.

Ender's Game
Hit Factor: I loved the book as a kid.
Flop Factor: I know some gay people and may wait till it's on Bluray.



Free Birds
Hit Factor: Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 is pretty much wrapping up it's box office run.
Flop Factor: A very low marketed animated movie doesn't bode well.



Last Vegas
Hit Factor: The Hangover for older people.
Flop Factor: Honestly looks like a lazy movie, but a fun set to be on.


My Predictions:

Movie
Ender's Game
Bad Grandpa
Gravity
Free Birds
Last Vegas
Weekend Gross (millions)
$25
$18
$16
$14
$14




Sunday, October 27, 2013

Bad Grandpa Takes the Tops Spot from Gravity

Yes, the Jackass spin off, Bad Grandpa, took first place ($32 million) this weekend as Gravity (came back to Earth, returned from space, "insert your pun here")is still putting up some strong numbers ($20.3 million) well into it's 4th week.

Ridley Scott's star studded The Counselor only managed to take in $8 million (far below expectations), for a fourth place finish.  On the bright side, this film reportedly cost $25 million to produce, with major talent taking pay cuts to work with the legendary director.

The new much buzzed about film, 12 Years a Slave managed to crack the top 8 this weekend ($2.2 million) while only being in 123 theaters.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Bad Grandpa
2) Gravity
3) Captain Phillips
4) The Counselor
5) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
6) Carrie
7) Escape Plan
8) 12 Years a Slave
9) Enough Said
10) Prisoners
$32 million
$20.3 million
$11.8 million
$8 million
$6.1 million
$5.9 million
$4.3 million
$2.2 million
$1.6 million
$1.1 million
$32 million
$199.8 million
$70.1 million
$8 million
$100.6 million
$26 million
$17.4 million
$3.4 million
$13 million
$59.1 million
$15 million
$100 million
$55 million
$25 million
$78 million
$30 million
$70 million
n/a
n/a
$46 million


Thursday, October 24, 2013

Bad Grandpa vs The Counselor vs Gravity

It looks like Gravity might finally be dethroned from the box office as one Bad Grandpa comes to town.

Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
Hit Factor: Amidst all the intellectual movies out there, the audience want's something brainless... and the Jackass crew seems to always deliver.
Flop Factor: Take Jackass Presents out of the title, people would ask if this is a sequel to Bad Santa.



The Counselor
Hit Factor: A cast including Michael Fassbender, Cameron Diaz, Penelope Cruz, Javier Bardem and Brad Pitt... directed by Ridley Scott.
Flop Factor: For a cast that big and a legendary director, the buzz seems rather low.



My Predictions:

Movie
Bad Grandpa
Gravity
The Counselor
Captain Phillips
Carrie
Weekend Gross (millions)
$35
$20
$16
$11
$8




Sunday, October 20, 2013

Gravity Holds on to Third Weekend

The Sandra Bullock and George Clooney Space flick, Gravity, easily held on to the top spot at the box office for the third weekend in a row ($31 million).  It's strong word of mouth is helping drive 3D sales.

Captain Phillips held on strong for a second place finish ($17.3 million), narrowly beating out newcomer, Carrie ($17 million).

The Sylvester Stallone and Arnold Scharwzenegger movie Escape Plan came in fifth place ($9.8 million)... pretty much in line with what many analysts were thinking, though far behind what the studios have hoped.

As for The Fifth State, the story about Julian Assange, well... nobody went to see it (well some went to see it), as it debuted in 8th place ($1.7 million)... and many are calling it an instant flop.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Gravity
2) Captain Phillips
3) Carrie
4) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
5) Escape Plan
6) Prisoners
7) Enough Said
8) The Fifth Estate
9) Runner Runner
10) Insidious Chapter 2
$31 million
$17.3 million
$17 million
$10.1 million
$9.8 million
$2.1 million
$1.8 million
$1.7 million
$1.6 million
$1.5 million
$171 million
$53.3 million
$17 million
$93.1 million
$9.8 million
$57.3 million
$10.8 million
$1.7 million
$17.5 million
$80.9 million
$100 million
$55 million
$30 million
$78 million
$70 million
$46 million
n/a
$28 million
$30 million
$5 million

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Carrie vs Escape Plan vs The Fifth Estate vs Gravity

A few new movies hit theaters this weekend each willing to bring Gravity back to Earth.

Carrie
Hit Factor: People are aware of the original...
Flop Factor: Well... this version has no reviews as of yet.



Escape Plan
Hit Factor: Arnold and Sly in a movie together? Yes.
Flop Factor: It would have been awesome if this was the late 80s early 90s.



The Fifth Estate
Hit Factor: A story about Wikileaks could be rather interesting.
Flop Factor: The type of movie that needs good word of mouth to survive, and so-far, it's kinda so-so. And so-so's will get lost amongst more Award seeking (high rated) films like Gravity, Captain Phillips and even limited released films like 12 Years a Slave and Kill Your Darlings.



My Predictions:

Movie
Gravity
Carrie
Captain Phillips
Escape Plan
Cloudy... Meatballs 2
Weekend Gross (millions)
$32
$25
$18
$9
$9




Sunday, October 13, 2013

Gravity Holds on to a Huge Second Weekend

The Sandra Bullock and George Clooney Space movie, Gravity, easily held on to the top of the box office in it's second weekend ($44.3 million).  In fact, it only slipped 21 percent from last weekend, making it the lowest decline for a movie that opened to more than $55 million (without a Holiday).  Helped by it's strong word of mouth and amazing visuals (and director Alfonso Cuaron should be named here), Gravity, will take some time to come down from it's high flying orbit (Yes, insert pun here).

The Tom Hanks dramatic thriller, Captain Phillips, had a good opening for second place ($26 million).  I must say I like the choices Tom Hanks has been doing lately (even though Cloud Atlas flopped, it's a great risk that I respect).

Well, that leaves the Robert Rodriguez's so-bad-it's-awesome flick, Machete Kills, drowning in a sea of award contention heavy weights.  It opened to a tune of $3.8 million, which, by most standards is not good.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Gravity
2) Captain Phillips
3) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
4) Machete Kills
5) Runner Runner
6) Prisoners
7) Insidious Chapter 2
8) Rush
9) Don Jon
10) Baggage Claim
$44.3 million
$26 million
$14.2 million
$3.8 million
$3.7 million
$3.7 million
$2.7 million
$2.4 million
$2.3 million
$2.1 million
$123.4 million
$26 million
$78 million
$3.8 million
$14.1 million
$53.6 million
$78.4 million
$22.2 million
$20.1 million
$18.3 million
$100 million
$55 million
$78 million
$20 million
$30 million
$46 million
$5 million
$38 million
$6 million
$8.5 million

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Captain Phillips vs Machete Kills vs Gravity


A couple of new movies hit theaters this weekend, vying to take the top spot from Gravity.

Captain Phillips
Hit Factor: Currently getting a 90% tomatometer
Flop Factor: Will a modern day realistic pirate not set in the Caribbean find an audience?



Machete Kills
Hit Factor: Trailer looks awesome.
Flop Factor: Though it's not something I'd see in theaters.



My Predictions:

Movie
Gravity
Captain Phillips
Cloudy... Meatballs 2
Machete
Prisoners
Weekend Gross (millions)
$35
$25
$15
$10
$4




Sunday, October 6, 2013

Gravity Breaks October Record


The Sandra Bullock and George Clooney space film, Gravity, blasted off this October weekend with a huge record breaking $55.6 million... beating previous October record holder, Paranormal Activity 3 ($52.6 million).  80 percent of the film's profit is thanks to 3D screenings, which has been in decline for a while.




Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Gravity
2) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
3) Runner Runner
4) Prisoners
5) Rush
6) Don Jon
7) Baggage Claim
8) Insidious Chapter 2
9) Pulling Strings
10) Enough Said
$55.6 million
$21.5 million
$7.6 million
$5.7 million
$4.4 million
$4.2 million
$4.1 million
$3.9 million
$2.5 million
$2.2 million
$55.6 million
$60.6 million
$7.6 million
$47.9 million
$18.1 million
$16.1 million
$15.2 million
$74.8 million
$2.5 million
$5.4 million
$100 million
$78 million
$30 million
$46 million
$38 million
$6 million
$8.5 million
$5 million
n/a
n/a

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Gravity vs Runner Runner

A couple new movies hit theaters this October weekend.

Gravity
Hit Factor: 97% tomatometer. One of the few movies this year I wanted to see.
Flop Factor: Will people enjoy just Sandra Bullock and George Clooney in Space for most of the movie?



Runner Runner
Hit Factor: Ben Affleck, Justin Timberlake
Flop Factor: Since it's trailer release a while back, marketing has been quite underwhelming.




My Predictions:

Movie
Gravity
Cloudy...Meatballs 2
Runner Runner
Rush
Prisoners
Weekend Gross (millions)
$35
$25
$14
$7
$7