Thursday, November 28, 2013

Frozen vs Black Nativity vs Homefront vs The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

A few new movies hit theaters this Thanksgiving Day weekend... all out to battle The Hunger Games: Catching Fire.

Frozen
Hit Factor: Disney releasing an animated Holiday film on a Holiday weekend.
Flop Factor: This is Disney, not a Pixar movie.



Black Nativity
Hit Factor: Based off of a popular play.
Flop Factor: Reviews so far are smack dab in the middle of the mediocre zone.



Homefront
Hit Factor: Jason Statham
Flop Factor: Doesn't feel like a Statham movie... (Heard it was written by Stallone and may have been one of the plots for a Rambo film).



The Book Thief
Hit Factor: An Arthouse type of film that could get some buzz from word of mouth.
Flop Factor: Unfortunately, it's reviews are mediocre so far, for real word of mouth to work.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hunger Games 2
Frozen
Thor: The Dark World
Black Nativity
Best Man Holiday
Weekend Gross (millions)
$80
$40
$10
$10
$8




Sunday, November 24, 2013

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Destroys the Box Office

It's no surprise that The Hunger Games: Catching Fire easily burned down, fueled up, ignited, lit up, and caught fire to the box office this weekend ($161.1 million).  This makes it the 4th biggest debut in history, behind The Avengers ($207.4 million), Iron Man 3 ($174.1 million) and the final Harry Potter film ($169.2 million).  It is also the biggest opening for a November movie, beating out Twilight's New Moon ($142.8 million).  Worldwide, it's total stands at $307.7 million... ahead of the first Hunger Games' $211.8 million debut in March of 2012.

There was another movie that was released this weekend (in case you weren't aware).  And that's Vince Vaughn's Delivery Man. It delivered $8.2 million for a 4th place finish.  It's one of Vince Vaughn's worst debuts in a while.  Though, all is not bad because this film reportedly cost a modest $26 million, so it could easily make some money back.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hunger Games 2
2) Thor: The Dark World 
3) The Best Man Holiday
4) Delivery Man
5) Free Birds
6) Last Vegas
7) Bad Grandpa
8) Gravity
9) 12 Years a Slave
10) Dallas Buyers Club
$161.1 million
$14.1 million
$12.5 million
$8.2 million
$5.3 million
$4.4 million
$3.5 million
$3.3 million
$2.8 million
$2.8 million
$161.1 million
$167.8 million
$50.4 million
$8.2 million
$48.6 million
$53.9 million
$95.5 million
$245.5 million
$29.4 million
$6.5 million
$130 million
$170 million
$17 million
$26 million
$55 million
$28 million
$15 million
$100 million
$20 million
$5.5 million

Thursday, November 21, 2013

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Ready to Light Up the Box Office

A couple new movies hit theaters this weekend. Only one, people are talking about.

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Hit Factor: There's like some books that a lot of people like.
Flop Factor: Umm.. I don't think this has any flop potential.


Delivery Man
Hit Factor: Counter audience to The Hunger Games (maybe?).
Flop Factor: The Hunger Games has so much buzz that people don't realized there is another film debuting in theaters this weekend.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hunger Games 2
Thor: The Dark World
Best Man Holiday
Delivery Man
Last Vegas
Weekend Gross (millions)
$170
$19
$18
$12
$5




Sunday, November 17, 2013

Thor: The Dark World Holds onto a Strong Second Weekend

Thor: The Dark World easily held onto first place for the second weekend in a roll ($38.5 million).  In fact, it has already grossed over $479 million worldwide, already surpassing the first Thor's final global tally ($449 million).

In other news, newcomer The Best Man Holiday, put up some impressive numbers ($30.6 million) for second place. The sequel is rumored to cost around $17 million.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Thor: The Dark World
2) Best Man Holiday
3) Last Vegas
4) Free Birds
5) Bad Grandpa
6) Gravity
7) Ender's Game
8) 12 Years a Slave
9) Captain Phillips
10) About Time
$38.5 million
$30.6 million
$8.9 million
$8.3 million
$7.7 million
$6.3 million
$6.2 million
$4.7 million
$4.5 million
$3.5 million
$147 million
$30.6 million
$47 million
$42.2 million
$90.2 million
$240.6 million
$53.8 million
$25 million
$97.6 million
$11.6 million
$170 million
$17 million
$28 million
$55 million
$15 million
$100 million
$110 million
$20 million
$55 million
n/a

Thursday, November 14, 2013

The Best Man Holiday vs Thor 2

One new movie opens in wide release this weekend, in the aftermath of Thor: The Dark World and before the onslaught of The Hunger Games: Catching Fire.

The Best Man Holiday
Hit Factor: Apparently a sequel. No new films out this weekend.
Flop Factor: A sequel 14 years in the making. Nudged between two of the biggest movies of the year.


My Predictions:

Movie
Thor: The Dark World
Best Man Holiday
Bad Grandpa
Free Birds
12 Years A Slave
Weekend Gross (millions)
$45
$17
$8
$8
$6






Sunday, November 10, 2013

Thor: The Dark World Crushes the Box Office

The return of the mighty Avenger in, Thor: The Dark World, hammered down the competition with a furious lightning bolt of $86.1 million.  It's worldwide total now stands at $327 million.

As expected, last weekend's number one, Ender's Game, dropped over 60% for a 5th place finish ($10.3 million), and may put a hamper on Lionsgate's decision to green light any sequels based off the books.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Thor: The Dark World
2) Bad Grandpa
3) Free Birds
4) Last Vegas
5) Ender's Game
6) Gravity
7) 12 Years a Slave
8) Captain Phillips
9) About Time
10) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
$86.1 million
$11.3 million
$11.2 million
$11.1 million
$10.3 million
$8.4 million
$6.6 million
$5.8 million
$5.2 million
$2.8 million
$86.1 million
$78.7 million
$30.2 million
$33.5 million
$44 million
$231.1 million
$17.3 million
$91 million
$6.7 million
$110 million
$170 million
$15 million
$55 million
$28 million
$110 million
$100 million
$20 million
$55 million
n/a
$78 million

Thursday, November 7, 2013

Thor: The Dark World Hits Theaters this Weekend

A few movies hit theaters this weekend... Well, mainly one big one and a couple of others expanding.

Thor: The Dark World
Hit Factor: The Avengers bump.
Flop Factor: Almost impossible.


About Time
Hit Factor: Interesting use of time travel
Flop Factor: How is this different from that other Rachel McAdams time travel romance movie?


12 Years A Slave
Hit Factor: 96% tomatometer... right between Gravity and Captain Phillips, a couple of the highest rated films of the year.
Flop Factor: Will a mass audience want to see a movie that's dark, depressing and brutal just because it's good?



My Predictions:

Movie
Thor: The Dark World
Ender's Game
Bad Grandpa
About Time
12 Years A Slave
Weekend Gross (millions)
$100
$13
$13
$8
$8




Sunday, November 3, 2013

Ender's Game Easily Takes the Top Spot

The book-turned-into-a-movie, Ender's Game, took the top spot at the box office this weekend ($28 million).  It's good news to be in first place, but may not be good enough as it reportedly cost $110 million and it's target audience will get dismayed next weekend as Thor: The Dark World hits theaters.

Speaking of Thor: The Dark World, it opened to the tuned of $109.4 million overseas this weekend.

Other newcomers Last Vegas and Free Birds are in a close battle for third place ($16.5 and $16.2 respectively).
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa is holding on strong in second place ($20.5 million).

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Ender's Game
2) Bad Grandpa
3) Last Vegas
4) Free Birds
5) Gravity
6) Captain Phillips
7) 12 Years a Slave
8) Cloudy... Meatballs 2
9) Carrie
10) The Counselor
$28 million
$20.5 million
$16.5 million
$16.2 million
$13.1 million
$8.5 million
$4.6 million
$4.2 million
$3.4 million
$3.3 million
$28 million
$62.1 million
$16.5 million
$16.2 million
$219.2 million
$82.6 million
$8.8 million
$106.2 million
$32 million
$13.4 million
$110 million
$15 million
$28 million
$55 million
$100 million
$55 million
$20 million
$78 million
$30 million
$25 million