Sunday, December 29, 2013

The Hobbit 2 Takes Third Weekend in a Row

Yes, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug squeezed out another first place finish ($29.9 million) followed immediately behind by Disney's Frozen ($28.8 million). Frozen is doing exceptionally well, much more than anyone could have imagined and could well wind up being one of the 3 biggest movies of 2013.

The rest of the box office played much like any Christmas weekend. However, let's talk about The Secret Life of Walter Mitty ($13 million), which may have a hard time surpassing it's $90 million budget.  Still, that's not quite as big of a climb as 47 Ronin ($9.9 million) has to make to surpass it's $175 million budget.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hobbit 2
2) Frozen
3) Anchorman 2
4) American Hustle 
5) Wolf of Wall Street 
6) Saving Mr. Banks
7) Secret Life of Walter Mitty
8) The Hunger Games 2 
9) 47 Ronin
10) A Madea Christmas
$29.9 million
$28.8 million
$20.2 million
$19.6 million
$18.5 million
$14 million
$13 million
$10.2 million
$9.9 million
$7.4 million
$190.3 million
$248.4 million
$83.7 million
$60 million
$34.3 million
$37.8 million
$25.6 million
$391.1 million
$20.6 million
$43.7 million
$225 million*
$150 million
$50 million
$40 million
$100 million
$35 million
$90 million
$130 million
$175 million
n/a

*As of Oct 2013 The Hobbit Films cost $561 million so far.

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Can You Believe The Wolf of Wall Street Has a Grudge Match with Walter Mitty and his 47 Ronin?

I see what you did there. Basically a bunch of movies hit an already crowded multiplex this Christmas Weekend.

The Wolf of Wall Street
Hit Factor: Positive reviews, getting some award season buzz.
Flop Factor: About 3 hours long.



Grudge Match
Hit Factor: The right idea, to the right audience... However...
Flop Factor: The right idea can only take you so far... and so far the reviews have been bad.



The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
Hit Factor: Looks good.
Flop Factor: For a movie that looks like it should be getting awards notice... it isn't.



47 Ronin
Hit Factor: Neo (I mean) Keanu saves the day again.
Flop Factor: Where do I start?



Justin Bieber's Believe
Hit Factor: Tweenage girls
Flop Factor: Who else would pay to see his movie?



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hobbit 2
Wolf of Wall Street
Anchorman 2
American Hustle
Walter Mitty 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$25
$23
$20
$19
$17




Sunday, December 22, 2013

The Hobbit 2 Remains Number One

The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug remained at the top spot at the box office this Holiday Weekend ($31.5 million).  While it's trailing The Hobbit per weekend, Desolation of Smaug still could make a chunk of change in the next couple of weeks as the Holiday market usually increases the box office during the week. Smaug has grossed $403.8 million worldwide.

Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues debuted with a strong $26.8 million and has made already $40 million since Wednesday.  Also debuting strong, is the award happy American Hustle ($19.2 million), which is a bit above expectations.

It wasn't all good news at the box office though, Fox's Walking with Dinosaurs managed an 8th place finish with $7.3 million.  The film reportedly cost $80 million to make and will have trouble recouping that amount.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hobbit 2
2) Anchorman 2
3) Frozen
4) American Hustle 
5) Saving Mr. Banks 
6) The Hunger Games 2
7) A Madea Christmas
8) Walking with Dinosaurs 
9) Dhoom 3
10) Thor: The Dark World
$31.5 million
$26.8 million
$19.2 million
$19.1 million
$9.3 million
$8.8 million
$8.5 million
$7.3 million
$3.3 million
$1.3 million
$127.5 million
$40 million
$191.6 million
$20.2 million
$9.9 million
$371.7 million
$28.3 million
$7.3 million
$3.3 million
$200.8 million
$225 million*
$50 million
$150 million
$40 million
$35 million
$130 million
n/a
$80 million
n/a
$170 million

*As of Oct 2013 The Hobbit Films cost $561 million so far.

Thursday, December 19, 2013

Anchorman 2 vs American Hustle vs Saving Mr. Banks vs Dinosaurs vs The Hobbit 2

Here comes the onslaught of movies for the Holiday Season.

Anchroman 2: The Legend Continues
Hit Factor: The first Anchorman is pretty damn funny.
Flop Factor: Will Ferrell hasn't exactly been box office gold lately.



American Hustle
Hit Factor: Getting a lots of awards nominations.
Flop Factor: There are a lot of movies out.



Saving Mr. Banks
Hit Factor: Also, getting some awards nominations.
Flop Factor: Could get lost in what's becoming a crowded movie market.



Walking With Dinosaurs
Hit Factor: Hit factor there is no other Dinosaur movie out at the moment.
Flop Factor: Tough market, families may still want to watch Frozen or maybe The Hobbit sequel.



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hobbit 2
Anchorman 2
American Hustle
Frozen
Saving Mr. Banks
Weekend Gross (millions)
$40
$35
$16
$16
$13




Sunday, December 15, 2013

The Hobbit 2 Desolates the Competition

Well, except for Frozen because that's still doing well.

Peter Jackson's The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug ($73.7 million) easily took the top spot at the box office this weekend. Though it made less than An Unexpected Journey's $84 million, Smaug could still have strong legs throughout the Holiday Season and push it close the $1 Billion mark worldwide.

As for Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas, it took in $16 million for third place which is decent. However, it marks one of Tyler Perry's lowest openings.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hobbit 2
2) Frozen
3) A Madea Christmas
4) The Hunger Games 2 
5) Thor: The Dark World 
6) Out of the Furnace
7) Delivery Man
8) Philomena
9) The Book Thief
10) Homefront
$73.7 million
$22.2 million
$16 million
$13.2 million
$2.7 million
$2.3 million
$1.9 million
$1.8 million
$1.7 million
$1.6 million
$73.7 million
$164.4 million
$16 million
$357 million
$198.1 million
$9.5 million
$28 million
$11 million
$14.9 million
$18.4 million
$225 million*
$150 million
n/a
$130 million
$170 million
$22 million
$26 million
n/a
n/a
$22 million

*As of Oct 2013 The Hobbit Films cost $561 million so far.

Thursday, December 12, 2013

The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug Looks for a huge Weekend

A couple new movies hit theaters this weekend.

The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
Hit Factor: Well, do I have to?
Flop Factor: Despite being getting positive reviews, it's still not quite as spectacularly acclaimed as The Lord of the Rings Trilogy.



Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas
Hit Factor: People still seem to flock to Tyler Perry films.
Flop Factor: How long is he going to milk this franchise?



My Predictions:

Movie
The Hobbit 2
A Madea Christmas
Frozen
The Hunger Games 2
Thor: The Dark World
Weekend Gross (millions)
$80
$25
$21
$15
$3






Sunday, December 8, 2013

Frozen Edges out Catching Fire this Post Thanksgiving Day Weekend

In a rather interesting move, Disney's Frozen took the top spot ($31.6 million) from The Hunger Games: Catching Fire ($27 million) this weekend.  Though Catching Fire has made a boat load of money ($336.7 million), it is now questionable if The Hunger Games sequel will be able to beat the original film's domestic gross ($408 million).  Worldwide, Catching Fire has already grossed $673.4 million which should easily beat The Hunger Games' tally of $691.2 million fairly soon.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Frozen
2) The Hunger Games 2
3) Out of the Furnace
4) Thor: The Dark World 
5) Delivery Man
6) Homefront
7) The Book Thief
8) The Best Man Holiday
9) Philomena
10) Dallas Buyers Club
$31.6 million
$27 million
$5.3 million
$4.7 million
$3.8 million
$3.4 million
$2.7 million
$2.7 million
$2.3 million
$1.5 million
$134.3 million
$336.7 million
$5.3 million
$193.6 million
$24.8 million
$15.3 million
$12.1 million
$67.2 million
$8.3 million
$12.4 million
$150 million
$130 million
$22 million
$170 million
$26 million
$22 million
n/a
$17 million
n/a
$5 million

Thursday, December 5, 2013

Out of the Furnace vs The Hunger Games: Catching Fire vs Frozen


Only one new film opens in wide release this post Thanksgiving weekend.

Out of the Furnace
Hit Factor: Cast... an Award hungry film.
Flop Factor: Early reviews have been less that Award-like.





My Predictions:

Movie
The Hunger Games 2
Frozen
Thor: The Dark World
Out of the Furnace
Best Man Holiday
Weekend Gross (millions)
$45
$40
$7
$6
$5




Sunday, December 1, 2013

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire Melts Disney's Frozen for Box Office Win

The Thanksgiving Day weekend was too hot for Frozen to handle as The Hunger Games: Catching Fire melted away the competition (Yay, for puns!) with $74.5 million in it's second weekend.  It's total now stands at $296.5 million and $573 million worldwide.

Disney's Frozen actually did pretty well for a second place finish ($66.7 million).  Probably due to the fact that it is the only family film in theaters this Holiday weekend.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Hunger Games 2
2) Frozen  
3) Thor: The Dark World
4) The Best Man Holiday
5) Homefront
6) Delivery Man
7) The Book Thief
8) Black Nativity
9) Philomena
10) Last Vegas
$74.5 million
$66.7 million
$11.1 million
$8.5 million
$7 million
$6.9 million
$4.9 million
$3.9 million
$3.8 million
$2.8 million
$296.5 million
$93.4 million
$186.7 million
$63.4 million
$9.8 million
$19.5 million
$7.9 million
$5 million
$4.8 million
$58.7 million
$130 million
$150 million
$170 million
$17 million
$22 million
$26 million
n/a
$17.5 million
n/a
$28 million