Thursday, January 29, 2015

American Sniper vs Project Almanac and Other Films this Superbowl Weekend

American Sniper looks to retain the number one spot for the third weekend in a row.

Project Almanac
Hit Factor: Low budget.
Flop Factor: People would rather watch American Sniper again.



Black or White
Hit Factor: Kevin Costner?
Flop Factor: I've never heard of this movie till now.



The Loft
Hit Factor: ?
Flop Factor: Same as above.




My Predictions:

Movie
American Sniper
Project Almanac
The Boy Next Door
Paddington
The Wedding Ringer 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$40
$15
$10
$8
$7




Sunday, January 25, 2015

American Sniper Easily Tops Second Weekend with $64 million

American Sniper earned $64.4 million this weekend for an easy first place finish.  It has so far grossed $200.1 million and will soon become the highest gross war movie ever, domestically (Saving Private Ryan's take is $216.5 million from 1998).  It's 28% drop from last weekend is stellar, and also the best hold for a movie that opened to over $85 million.  What seemed like a small sleeper film, will definitely be in the running for highest grossing movie of the year, at least domestically that is…

So you're saying American Sniper will be number one next weekend too?

Yes.

As for the new movies that came out… Well, let's just acknowledge the one movie that everyone is talking about (or actually isn't talking about)… Johnny Depp's Mortecai (I can't even spell it; it's Mortdecai). It opened to $4.1 million, which landed it a 9th place finish.  This would be all good and well except for the fact that it cost $60 million and has a slew of big actors attached.  Even Jennifer Lopez's flick The Boy Next Door made three times that amount, with a cost of about $4 million.  I guess another Pirates movie is happening.

That George Lucas animated movie, Strange Magic, flopped also.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) American Sniper 
2) The Boy Next Door
3) Paddington
4) The Wedding Ringer
5) Taken 3
6) The Imitation Game
7) Strange Magic
8) Selma 
9) Mortdecai
10) Into the Woods
$64.4 million
$15 million
$12.4 million
$11.6 million
$7.6 million
$7.1 million
$5.5 million
$5.5 million
$4.1 million
$3.9 million
$200.1 million
$15 million
$40.1 million
$39.7 million
$76.1 million
$60.6 million
$5.5 million
$39.2 million
$4.1 million
$121.5 million
$58.8 million
$4 million
$55 million
$23 million
$48million
$15 million
n/a
$20 million
$60 million
$50 million

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Mortdecai vs The Boy Next Door vs Strange Magic vs American Sniper

American Sniper looks to repeat this weekend as a slew of mis-targeted movies hit theaters.

Mortdecai
Hit Factor: Johnny Depp and rest of cast.
Flop Factor: Interest and marketing of this film is really low… even for it's huge cast. Is it just me or should Johnny Depp be in a Wes Anderson film?



The Boy Next Door
Hit Factor: I guess people want to see this.
Flop Factor: People forget the Jennifer Lopez is also an actress.



Strange Magic
Hit Factor: Can this George Lucas produced flick stir a family audience?
Flop Factor: Kinda reminds me of those TV cartoons that the kids watch now-a-days.




My Predictions:

Movie
American Sniper
The Wedding Ringer
Paddington
The Boy Next Door
Strange Magic 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$50
$12
$11
$10
$10




Sunday, January 18, 2015

American Sniper Sets January Record with a Whopping $90 million


Clint Eastwood's latest film, American Sniper, crushed the box office this weekend with $90.2 million. It is the biggest opening for a film in January (last held by Ride Along, $41.5 million) and also the best of Clint Eastwood's career (previously held by Gran Torino, $29.5 million).  It is also the second highest debut for a rated R movie… sitting just behind The Matrix Reloaded's $91.8 million.

So, I guess 2015 is off to a good start.

As for the other movies, The Wedding Ringer and Paddington, they did reasonably well ($21 million and $19.3 million, respectively).  While Blackhat failed, with a $4 million debut against it's $70 million budget and starring Thor (Chris Hemsworth) and the fact it's a Michael Mann film… Ouch!



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) American Sniper 
2) The Wedding Ringer
3) Paddington
4) Taken 3 
5) Selma
6) The Imitation Game
7) Into the Woods
8) The Battle of the Five Armies 
9) Unbroken
10) Blackhat
$90.2 million
$21 million
$19.3 million
$14.1 million
$8.3 million
$7.2 million
$6.5 million
$4.9 million
$4.3 million
$4 million
$93.6 million
$21 million
$19.3 million
$62.8 million
$26 million
$50.8 million
$114.3 million
$244.5 million
$108.6 million
$4 million
$58.8 million
$23 million
$55 million
$48 million
$20 million
$15 million
$50million
$250 million
$65 million
$70 million

Thursday, January 15, 2015

American Sniper vs The Wedding Ringer vs Paddington vs Blackhat

A bunch of new movies hit theaters in wide release this weekend.

American Sniper
Hit Factor: Lot's of awards buzz (even though it got snubbed by the Globes).
Flop Factor: It got snubbed by the Globes.


The Wedding Ringer
Hit Factor: Kevin Hart is hot right now.
Flop Factor: That doesn't mean his movies are critically liked.


Paddington
Hit Factor: A family film.
Flop Factor: Not sure if Paddington's mythos is rooted deep enough in American culture for an audience.


Blackhat
Hit Factor: From Director Michael Mann.
Flop Factor: Might be one of his lowest reviewed movies.



My Predictions:

Movie
American Sniper
The Wedding Ringer
Taken 3
Blackhat
Selma 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$26
$25
$18
$14
$11




Sunday, January 11, 2015

Liam Neeson Once Again Kicks Box Office Butt

Liam Neeson's Taken 3 easily emerged the victor this weekend ($40.4 million).  Selma managed a strong second place finish ($11.2 million) as it expanded into theaters nationwide.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Taken 3  
2) Selma
3) Into the Woods
4) The Battle of the Five Armies 
5) Unbroken
6) The Imitation Game
7) Night at the Museum 3
8) Annie
9) The Woman in Black 2
10) HG: Mockingjay - Part 1
$40.4 million
$11.2 million
$9.8 million
$9.4 million
$8.4 million
$7.6 million
$6.7 million
$4.9 million
$4.8 million
$3.8 million
$40.4 million
$13.5 million
$105.3 million
$236.5 million
$101.6 million
$40.8 million
$99.5 million
$79.4 million
$22.3 million
$329.5 million
$48 million
$20 million
$50 million
$250 million
$65 million
$15 million
$127 million
$65 million
n/a
$125 million

Thursday, January 8, 2015

Taken 3 vs Selma vs The Battle of the Five Armies

Liam Neeson is back to kick some 2015 box office butt.

Taken 3
Hit Factor: Liam Neeson kicking ass.
Flop Factor: Liam Neeson may be kicking too much ass every year.


Selma
Hit Factor: Getting lots of awards buzz… 100% Tomatometer… yes 100%.
Flop Factor: Will audiences flock to this very serious movie?



My Predictions:

Movie
Taken 3
Selma
The Battle of the Five Armies
Unbroken
Into the Woods
Weekend Gross (millions)
$30
$16
$15
$11
$10




Sunday, January 4, 2015

The Hobbit Rings in 2015 on Top

The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies rung in the new year by holding on to the top spot ($21.9 million) for the third weekend in a row.  It has so far made $722.9 million worldwide.  Into the Woods ($19.1 million) and Unbroken ($18.4 million) round out the top three.  The only newcomer of the week, The Women in Black 2: Angel of Death managed to make a decent $15.1 million for fourth place.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Battle of the Five Armies  
2) Into the Woods
3) Unbroken
4) The Woman in Black 2
5) Night at the Museum 3
6) Annie
7) The Imitation Game
8) HG: Mockingjay Part 1
9) The Gambler
10) Big Hero 6
$21.9 million
$19.1 million
$18.4 million
$15.1 million
$14.5 million
$11.4 million
$8.1 million
$7.7 million
$6.3 million
$4.8 million
$220.8 million
$91.2 million
$87.8 million
$15.1 million
$89.7 million
$72.6 million
$30.8 million
$323.9 million
$27.6 million
$211.3 million
$250 million
$50 million
$65 million
n/a
$127 million
$65 million
$15 million
$125 million
$25 million
$165 million

Thursday, January 1, 2015

Woman in Black 2 vs The Battle of Five Armies vs Into the Woods vs Unbroken

Happy New Year!
Only one movie hits theaters this very first weekend of 2015.

Woman in Black 2
Hit Factor: There's no other new movie out this weekend.
Flop Factor: The first film did well enough to warrant a sequel?


My Predictions:

Movie
Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies
Into the Woods
Unbroken
Night at the Museum 3
Annie
Weekend Gross (millions)
$26
$22
$20
$15
$12