Thursday, June 30, 2016

The BFG vs Tarzan vs Purge: Election Year vs Finding Dory

Can Finding Dory make it on top of the box office for the third weekend in a row?


The BFG
Hit Factor: Spielberg returning to family films.
Flop Factor: Even though it's based off a book, not sure if this story appeals to a lot of kids.



The Legend of Tarzan
Hit Factor: Director David Yates has directed the most successful Harry Potter movies.
Flop Factor: Harry Potter is it's own fanbase... and no Phil Collins theme song?



The Purge: Election Year
Hit Factor: The Conjuring 2 had a big opening weekend a few weekends ago.
Flop Factor: This may be released to close to that film.



My Predictions:

Movie
Finding Dory
The BFG
Independence Day: Resurgence
Legend of Tarzan
Purge: Election Year
Weekend Gross (millions)
$42
$25
$24
$20
$18







Sunday, June 26, 2016

Independence Day: Resurgence No Match For Finding Dory

Independence Day: Resurgence ($41.6 million) fell short of invading box office records like it's predecessor did back in 1996, where it made $50.2 million on opening weekend. So any hopes of a Jurassic World type of nostalgic scenario the studios were hoping, are thrown out the window.  The only positive note, is that Resurgence has grossed a nice $102.1 million overseas.

As for Finding Dory, it kept on swimming at the box office to the tune of $73.2 million, for a domestic total of $286.6 million. Worldwide it's gross now stands at $396.9 million.

The other new movie out this weekend, The Shallows, over-performed, as it made $16.7 million, nearly all of it's reported $17 million budget back.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Finding Dory
2) Independence Day: Resurgence 
3) Central Intelligence
4) The Shallows
5) Free State of Jones
6) The Conjuring 2
7) Now You See Me 2
8) X-Men: Apocalypse
9) TMNT 2 
10) Alice Through the Looking Glass 
$73.2 million
$41.6 million
$18.4 million
$16.7 million
$7.8 million
$7.7 million
$5.7 million
$2.5 million
$2.4 million
$2.1 million
$286.6 million
$41.6 million
$69.3 million
$16.7 million
$7.8 million
$86.9 million
$52.1 million
$151.1 million
$77.1 million
$74.6 million
$200 million
$165 million
$50 million
$17 million
$50 million
$40 million
$90 million
$178 million
$135 million
$170 million

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Independence Day: Resurgence vs The Shallows vs Free State of Jones vs Finding Dory

Can Finding Dory fend off an alien invasion and a bunch of other new movies?

Independence Day: Resurgence
Hit Factor: Director Roland Emmerich is good at destruction. Hey, Jurassic World broke box office records last year because of brand nostalgia.
Flop Factor: Will Smith opted to do Suicide Squad instead of returning.


The Shallows
Hit Factor: Probably very low budget.
Flop Factor: Will get lost in the big budget Summer of other films.



Free State of Jones
Hit Factor: Matthew McConaughey
Flop Factor: Early reviews aren't so good.  Will get lost in Summer line up.




My Predictions:

Movie
Finding Dory
Independence Day: Resurgence
Central Intelligence
The Shallows
The Conjuring
Weekend Gross (millions)
$75
$60
$18
$10
$8







Sunday, June 19, 2016

Finding Dory Finds $136.2 Box Office Record

Pixar's latest, Finding Dory, debuted to the tune of $136.2 million... the biggest ever for an animated movie (previously held by Shrek The Third's $121.6 million).  Overseas, the fish tale, picked up $50 million, while only being shown in about 30% of the marketplace.

Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson and Kevin Hart's comedy duo pic, Central Intelligence, debuted to $34.5 million, which is decent.

As for last weekend's number one, The Conjuring 2, dropped more than 60% to third place with $15.6 million.  Overseas, this movie is still scaring up some business as it took in $42 million. Worldwide, it has already grossed $187.9 million.

As for Warcraft, it's pretty much written off in the States, as it tumbled 73% to $6.5 million and probably wont even crack $50 million domestically.  The upside is that it has already grossed $205 million in China alone and has a worldwide total of $377.6 million.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Finding Dory
2) Central Intelligence
3) The Conjuring 2
4) Now You See Me 2
5) Warcraft
6) X-Men: Apocalypse
7) TMNT 2
8) Me Before You
9) Alice Through the Looking Glass 
10) Captain America: Civil War
$136.2 million
$34.5 million
$15.6 million
$9.7 million
$6.5 million
$5.2 million
$5.2 million
$4.2 million
$3.6 million
$2.3 million
$136.2 million
$34.5 million
$71.7 million
$41.4 million
$37.7 million
$146.1 million
$71.9 million
$46.4 million
$69.3 million
$401.3 million
$200 million
$50 million
$40 million
$90 million
$160 million
$178 million
$135 million
$20 million
$170 million
$250 million

Thursday, June 16, 2016

Finding Dory vs Central Intelligence

A couple new movies hit theaters this June weekend.

Finding Dory
Hit Factor: Sequel to one of the most successful animated movies ever...
Flop Factor: ?



Central Intelligence
Hit Factor: The Rock seems to bring in the numbers. Looks kind of funny.
Flop Factor: Marketing seems a bit low compared to other movies.




My Predictions:

Movie
Finding Dory
Central Intelligence
Conjuring 2
Now You See Me 2
Warcraft
Weekend Gross (millions)
$110
$35
$18
$12
$12






Sunday, June 12, 2016

The Conjuring 2 Scares Up $40.4 Million Debut

The Conjuring 2 easily led the way at the box office this weekend with $40.4 million... which is pretty much on par to the original's $41.9 million debut in 2013.  Worldwide, The Conjuring 2 has already made $90 million.

Now, for the elephant in the room...
The $160 million Universal video-game franchise tentpole, Warcraft, disappointed the US box office with a $24.4 million debut.  You may think this spells trouble for the fantasy video game epic... However, in China, it is setting some records... huge records... it has already made $156 million in five days. Making it the biggest opening for a non-Chinese title in China.  Worldwide, Warcraft has grossed $286.1 million.  One of those rare moments where a mostly US film (though, Legendary which is owned by Chinese business group Wanda, definitely helped open doors) makes more in China than in the states.

There was another movie to debut this weekend: Now You See Me 2.  It debuted to $23 million which is slightly under the original's $29.4 million.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) The Conjuring 2
2) Warcraft
3) Now You See Me 2
4) TMNT 2 
5) X-Men: Apocalypse
6) Me Before You
7) The Angry Birds Movie 
8) Alice Through the Looking Glass 
9) Captain America: Civil War
10) The Jungle Book
$40.4 million
$24.4 million
$23 million
$14.8 million
$10 million
$9.2 million
$6.7 million
$5.5 million
$4.3 million
$2.7 million
$40.4 million
$24.4 million
$23 million
$61 million
$136.4 million
$36.8 million
$98.2 million
$62.4 million
$396.9 million
$352.7 million
$40 million
$160 million
$90 million
$135 million
$178 million
$20 million
$73 million
$170 million
$250 million
$175 million

Thursday, June 9, 2016

The Conjuring 2 vs Now You See Me 2 vs Warcraft

A bunch of new movie hit theaters this weekend.

The Conjuring 2
Hit Factor: The first movie made over $318 million worldwide.
Flop Factor: Sequels, in general, have recently been underperforming.



Now You See Me 2
Hit Factor: The First film made over $351 million worldwide.
Flop Factor: I wish they did more practical magic tricks than the CGI ridiculousness.



Warcraft
Hit Factor: Director Duncan Jones has made a few good movies like Moon and Source Code... Warcraft is doing well overseas.
Flop Factor: But a current 19% Tomatometer will turn off non-fans of the game and is making Universal Studios' executives very, very nervous.  The closer it gets to it's debut, the more it's estimates are being revised downward.




My Predictions:

Movie
Conjuring 2
Now You See Me 2
Warcraft
TMNT 2
X-Men: Apocalypse 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$35
$22
$22
$19
$14






Sunday, June 5, 2016

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 Debuts to $35 million

In another lackluster  Summer weekend, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows managed to take the top spot the box office with $35.3 million... almost 50% less than what it's predecessor made back in 2014.

Last weeks number one, X-Men: Apocalypse, took a 66% dive with $22.3 million.  At this rate Apocalypse will fall short of beating any X-Men franchise records.  However, overseas, it is still going strong and has already grossed $286 million for a global total north of the $400 million mark.

There is one new movie that over-performed this weekend (and it's not Popstar(who had to settle for 8th place with $4.6 million)), and that movie is Me Before You.  It's impressive $18.3 million debut almost matched it's reported $20 million budget.

In other news, Zootopia has become not only the second Disney film (behind Captain America: Civil War), but the second film overall of 2016 to surpass the $1 billion mark worldwide.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) TMNT 2
2) X-Men: Apocalypse 
3) Me Before You
4) Alice Through the Looking Glass 
5) The Angry Birds Movie
6) Captain America: Civil War
7) Neighbors 2 
8) Popstar
9) The Jungle Book 
10) The Nice Guys
$35.3 million
$22.3 million
$18.3 million
$10.7 million
$9.8 million
$7.6 million
$4.7 million
$4.6 million
$4.3 million
$3.5 million
$35.3 million
$116.5 million
$18.3 million
$50.8 million
$86.7 million
$388.9 million
$48.6 million
$4.6 million
$347.5 million
$29 million
$135 million
$178 million
$20 million
$270 million
$73 million
$250 million
$35 million
$21 million
$175 million
$50 million

Thursday, June 2, 2016

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 vs Popstar vs Me Before You vs X-Men: Apocalypse

Bebop and Rocksteady join the Ninja Turtles movie to battle X-Men: Apocalypse for the top spot at the box office this weekend.

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows
Hit Factor: It knows what it is... first movie movie almost $500 million worldwide.
Flop Factor: Unsurprisingly, negative early reviews (17% Tomatometer), though a movie like this is almost critic proof.


Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping
Hit Factor: Looks kinda funny.
Flop Factor: Too much competition from bigger marketed films.


Me Before You
Hit Factor: No other real competition from young adult romance in the top 10.
Flop Factor: Like above, will get overshadowed by the bigger Summer films.




My Predictions:

Movie
TMNT 2
X-Men: Apocalypse
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Popstar
The Angry Birds Movie
Weekend Gross (millions)
$45
$30
$12
$12
$10