Sunday, January 29, 2017

Split Remains at the Top Spot with $26.3 Million

M. Night Shyalmalan's Split, easily remained on top of the box office this weekend ($26.3 million).  In fact, it only dropped about 35% from last weekend, which is unusually good for a horror-type of flick.  It has grossed $78 million.

Newcomer, A Dog's Purpose, came in second with $18.4 million... which is actually more than I thought it would do, amidst the late controversy.  Other newcomer, Resident Evil: The Final Chapter, came in 4th with $13.8 million, which is the lowest of the series.  However, it grossed $28.3 million overseas, where it will make most of it's money back.  It so far, has a worldwide total of $78.3 million.

As for the Matthew McConaughey starred film, Gold, it couldn't find any. Hah. At $3.5 million, it's actually one of McConaughey's lowest openings to date... and it is his lowest opening for a movie on more than 2 thousand screens. Which is weird because the buzz made it feel like it was only opening in limited release... I guess that was the problem.

In other news, La La Land jumped, thanks to the Academy bump and being on new screens. It has now grossed $106.5 million and $223.5 million worldwide. In fact, pretty much all the Oscar nominees received a bump.

In news from a galaxy far far away, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story became the second highest grossing film worldwide of 2016 with $1.030 billion.  It sits behind Captain America: Civil War ($1.153 billion). The top 5 worldwide movies of 2016 are all Disney (Captain America: Civil War, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, Finding Dory, Zootopia, and The Jungle Book)... I wonder if that'll happen again in 2017.

Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Split
2) A Dog's Purpose
3) Hidden Figures
4) Resident Evil 6
5) La La Land
6) xXx 3
7) Sing
8) Rogue One
9) Monster Trucks
10) Gold
$26.3 million
$18.4 million
$14 million
$13.9 million
$12.1 million
$8.3 million
$6.2 million
$5.1 million
$4.1 million
$3.5 million
$78 million
$18.4 million
$104 million
$13.9 million
$106.5 million
$33.5 million
$257.4 million
$520 million
$28.1 million
n/a



Thursday, January 26, 2017

Resident Evil: The Final Chapter vs A Dog's Purpose vs Split

A couple new movies open this January weekend.

Resident Evil: The Final Chapter
Hit Factor: This is the 6th? one. So somebody must have been watching it.
Flop Factor: Felt like this was the final in the franchise a few movies ago.
Photo:

A Dog's Purpose
Hit Factor: a low-budget uplifting film.
Flop Factor: Lot's of behind the scenes controversy lately, could steer it's intended audience away.
Photo:



My Predictions:

Movie
Split
A Dog's Purpose
Resident Evil 6
Hidden Figures
xXx 3
Weekend Gross (millions)
$20
$15
$14
$11
$10







Sunday, January 22, 2017

Split Scares Box Office with $40.2 Million

It looks like M. Night Shyamalan is back as the low budget thriller, Split, grossed $40.2 million for the top spot this weekend.  After a string of flops (The Happening, The Last Airbender, After Earth), Shyamalan has quietly been rebuilding his career with low-budget horror/thriller films, starting with 2015's The Visit, which grossed $98.5 million worldwide off of a $5 million budget.  It looks like he has found his stride.

As for the other movie in wide release, xXx: The Return of Xander Cage, it's $20 million debut is far short of the original's $44.5 million back in 2002.  Paramount is definitely hoping for a strong international run.

In other news, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story passed the $1 billion mark worldwide.  It's an ear shot away of eclipsing Finding Dory and Zootopia to become the 2nd highest grossing film worldwide of 2016.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Split
2) xXx 3
3) Hidden Figures
4) Sing
5) La La Land
6) Rogue One
7) Monster Trucks
8) Patriots Day
9) The Founder
10) Sleepless
$40.2 million
$20 million
$16.3 million
$9 million
$8.4 million
$7 million
$7 million
$6 million
$3.8 million
$3.7 million
$40.2 million
$20 million
$84.2 million
$249.4 million
$89.7 million
$512.2 million
$22.6 million
$23.6 million
$3.8 million
$15.2 million
$10 million
$85 million
$25  million
$75 million
$30 million
$200 million
$125 million
$45 million
$7 million
$30 million


Thursday, January 19, 2017

xXx 3 vs Split vs The Founder

A bunch of new movies hit theaters this January weekend.

xXx: Return of Xander Cage
Hit Factor: Vin Diesel returning to the role.
Flop Factor: Buzz seems a bit low for a Vin Diesel franchise movie... Umm... Skiing on trees... Maybe they went too far.
Photo:

Split
Hit Factor: Early positive reviews (75% Tomatometer).  Director M. Night Shyamalan seems to be at home with these low budget horror/thriller flicks.
Flop Factor: May not reach a super wide audience, though, it doesn't have to.
Photo:


The Founder
Hit Factor: Early buzz had this Michael Keaton flick putting him in awards contention for 3 years in a row.
Flop Factor: The film was ultimately pushed from the line up last year, though it's reviews are positive(80% Tomatometer).
Photo:




My Predictions:

Movie
xXx 3
Split
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Sing 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$24
$24
$15
$11
$10







Sunday, January 15, 2017

Hidden Figures Holds on to Top Spot for Second Weekend in a Row

Hidden Figures held on to the top spot with $20.5 million to make it two weekends in a row (last weekend's final tally has it just nipping Rogue One for the top spot by $800 thousand.) It has already grossed $54.8 million.

This weeks number 2, La La Land, received a post Golden Globe's congratulatory bump ($14.5 million).  It has now made $74.1 million, and $128.8 million worldwide.

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, is now just a hair short of $500 million domestically ($498.9 million) and should past the $1 billion mark worldwide pretty soon.  Rogue One is also now the highest grossing movie of 2016 domestically, surpassing Finding Dory's $486.3 million.

Shall we talk about the newcomers? I guess...
Surprisingly, the movie that I've not heard anything about, The Bye Bye Man, made $13.4 million... which is the highest of the newcomers and other films going into wide release.

Yes, you read right...
This movie made more than Mark Wahlberg's Patriots Day ($12 million), the $125 million dud Monster Trucks ($10.5 million), Sleepless ($8.5 million), and Ben Affleck's Live By Night ($5.4 million). Yes, a Ben Affleck directed and starring film, made $5.4 million.  Doesn't exactly instill confidence for the next Batman film he's directing and starring in.  I also won't talk about much of Martin Scorsese's film Silence, since it opened in under 800 theaters.  Though, in 16th place ($1.9 million), I'm pretty sure they're kinda disappointed.



Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Hidden Figures
2) La La Land
3) Sing
4) Rogue One 
5) Bye Bye Man
6) Patriots Day
7) Monster Trucks
8) Sleepless
9) Underworld: Blood Wars 
10) Passengers
$20.5 million
$14.5 million
$13.8 million
$13.8 million
$13.4 million
$12 million
$10.5 million
$8.5 million
$5.8 million
$5.6 million
$54.8 million
$74.1 million
$233 million
$498.9 million
$13.4 million
$12.9 million
$10.5 million
$8.5 million
$23.9 million
$90 million
$25 million
$30 million
$75  million
$200 million
$7.4 million
$45 million
$125 million
$30 million
$35 million
$110 million



Thursday, January 12, 2017

Live By Night vs Patriots Day vs Monster Trucks

A bunch of new movies hit theaters this January weekend and Scorsese's Silence widens a little.

Live By Night
Hit Factor: Ben Affleck usually directs good movies.
Flop Factor: This is far from one of them... with a 35% Tomatometer, this is the worst movie he's directed.

Patriots Day
Hit Factor: Positive reviews (80% Tomatometer).
Flop Factor: Is this movie too soon or not?

Monster Trucks
Hit Factor: It's a movie about trucks with monsters in them.
Flop Factor: It's a movie about truck with monsters in them.

The Bye Bye Man
Hit Factor: It's opening a lot of theaters.
Flop Factor: I haven't heard of this movie till I wrote this post.

Sleepless
Hit Factor: Jamie Foxx
Flop Factor: Again haven't heard of this movie till now.


My Predictions:

Movie
Patriots Day
Hidden Figures
Live By Night
Rogue One
Sing 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$22
$16
$13
$12
$12







Sunday, January 8, 2017

Rogue One Takes Fourth Straight Weekend in a Row

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story took in $22 million for the fourth straight weekend in a row.  It has grossed $477.3 million domestically so far.  Overseas it made $56.6 million, thanks in heavy part, to it's $31 million debut in China. It has grossed $437.1 million overseas for a global total of $914.4 million.

Not far behind, in second place, was the space race drama, Hidden Figures ($21.8 million).  With it's solid reviews, it should remain strong in the coming weeks.

Underworld: Blood Wars came in 4th, with $13.1 million... It is the lowest opening for the Underworld franchise.  Though, all is not lost, as it already has raked in $42.1 million overseas off of a reported $35 million budget.

And as for A Monster Calls, well...despite it's very positive reviews, it's lowly 13th place finish ($2 million), is somewhat of a disappointment.  Possibly, because it is in fact a 2016 movie, that missed a lot of the nomination's lists.  Also, probably because it's a grown up movie, that's from the point of view of a kid... Anyways, the point is... It has good reviews, but it's not faring too well at the box office.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Rogue One
2) Hidden Figures
3) Sing
4) Underworld: Blood Wars 
5) La La Land
6) Passengers
7) Why Him?
8) Moana
9) Fences
10) Assassin's Creed
$22 million
$21.8 million
$19.6 million
$13.1 million
$10 million
$8.8 million
$6.5 million
$6.4 million
$4.7 million
$3.8 million
$477.3 million
$24.8 million
$213.4 million
$13.1 million
$51.7 million
$80.9 million
$48.6 million
$225.4 million
$40.7 million
$49.5 million
$200 million
$25 million
$75  million
$35 million
$30 million
$110 million
$38 million
150 million
$24 million
$125 million


Thursday, January 5, 2017

A Monster Calls vs Hidden Figures vs Underworld: Blood Wars

Can Rogue One: A Star Wars Story and Sing hold off the box office, yet again?

The post Holiday/New Years weekend is usually a dumping ground for miss-targeted movies... and surprisingly this year, there are a couple of well reviewed movies in that mix that could give Rogue One and Sing a run for it's money.


A Monster Calls
Hit Factor: Positive reviews (89% Tomatometer).
Flop Factor: Actually a 2016 film, which got lost in the release date line up... so it was pushed to January.
Photo:

Hidden Figures
Hit Factor: Also, strong reviews (92% Tomatometer).
Flop Factor: Early January is usually when theater going slows down.
Photo:

Underworld: Blood Wars
Hit Factor: It's a franchise.
Flop Factor: Didn't know they were still making these films... Early reviews are not that good (10% Tomatometer).
Photo:



My Predictions:

Movie
Rogue One
Sing
A Monster Calls    
Hidden Figures
Underworld: Blood Wars 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$24
$18
$16
$15
$10







Monday, January 2, 2017

Rogue One Rings in the New Year with $49.5 million

For the third straight weekend in a row, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story took the top spot at the box office with $49.5 million, for a domestic total of $424.9 million (the second highest grossing movie of 2016, behind Disney's other property, the $486.3 million, Finding Dory).  Overseas, Rogue One has grossed $350 million for a worldwide total of $774.9 million, so far... putting it at number 8 worldwide for 2016, and could push for the $1 billion mark.

The number 2 film this weekend, Sing, held on so strong, that it actually gained an audience since last weekend ($42.8 million).  It has grossed $166.4 million so far domestically, and about $100 million overseas for a worldwide total of $262.9 million.

Despite getting ravaged by critics and having a weak opening, Passengers managed a strong hold for 3rd place ($16.2 million). It has so far made $61.5 million against it's reported $110 million budget.

With Rogue One and Sing dominating the year end line up, it helped 2016 to become the biggest box office year domestically, with $11.4 billion.  Yes, even beating 2015's huge $11.14 billion line up of Jurassic World, The Force Awakens, and Furious 7.

Also, it was no doubt, a huge win for Disney, as they raked in the top 4 highest grossing films of the year. With Rogue One still climbing, they, more than likely, will take the top 5.

Warner Bros, on the other hand, should have dominated, with high profile pics like Batman v Superman, Suicide Squad, and Fantastic Beasts... they didn't flop, they actually did well... but I just cant help but imagine how much more they would have made if they were actually good films. We will see what 2017 brings us.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Rogue One
2) Sing
3) Passengers
4) Moana
5) Why Him?
6) Fences
7) La La Land
8) Assassin's Creed
9) Manchester by the Sea 
10) Collateral Beauty
$49.5 million
$42.8 million
$16.2 million
$11 million
$10.6 million
$10 million
$9.5 million
$8.6 million
$4.2 million
$4.2 million
$424.9 million
$166.4 million
$61.5 million
$210 million
$34.6 million
$29.7 million
$34.2 million
$39.6 million
$28.5 million
$25.8 million
$200 million
$75 million
$110  million
$150 million
$38 million
$24 million
$30 million
125 million
$8.5 million
$36 million