Sunday, July 30, 2017

Dunkirk Holds off a bunch of Emojis with $28.1 Million

Christopher Nolan's Dunkirk ($28.1 million) just edged out the $25.7 million from the critically obliterated animated flick The Emoji Movie (hey, it has an 8% Tomatometer, EIGHT PERCENT... that's worse than almost any movie released in theaters this year).

Back to Dunkirk, its getting good notice overseas too, as it has grossed another $45.6 million for a foreign tally of $131.3 million and a an early worldwide total of $234.1 million.

What was actually surprising this week is that Girls Trip (I want to put an apostrophe in that title) is still holding strong as it only dipped 36% from last weekend to come in third place this weekend with $20.1 million.

Charlize Theron's ass kicking flick, Atomic Blonde did well with an $18.6 million debut. It's budget is about $30 million.

Oh Valerian, Valerian, Valerian... I want you to do better, but it's 60 percent drop this weekend to $6.8 million, pretty much kills any chance for redemption Stateside.  So, maybe it'll make some of it's money back overseas.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Dunkirk
2) The Emoji Movie
3) Girls Trip
4) Atomic Blonde
5) Spider-Man: Homecoming 
6) War for the Planet of the Apes 
7) Despicable Me 3
8) Valerian
9) Baby Driver
10) Wonder Woman
$28.1 million
$25.7 million
$20.1 million
$18.6 million
$13.5 million
$10.4 million
$7.7 million
$6.8 million
$4.1 million
$3.5 million
$102.8 million
$25.7 million
$65.5 million
$18.6 million
$278.4 million
$118.7 million
$230.4 million
$30.6 million
$92 million
$395.4 million
$100 million
$50 million
$19 million
$30 million
$175 million
$150 million
$80 million
$177 million
$34 million
$149 million



Thursday, July 27, 2017

Atomic Blonde vs The Emoji Movie vs Dunkirk

A couple new movies hit theaters this late July weekend.

Atomic Blonde
Hit Factor: It's like John Wick but with Charlize Theron.
Flop Factor: A pretty crowded box office.
Photo:


The Emoji Movie
Hit Factor: Kids may want to watch this film.
Flop Factor: No one else really wants to watch this movie.Photo:




My Predictions:

Movie
Dunkirk
The Emoji Movie
Atomic Blonde
Girls Trip
Spider-Man: Homecoming 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$30
$26
$24
$15
$15





Sunday, July 23, 2017

Dunkirk Tops Box Office with $50.5 million

Director Christopher Nolan's latest epic, Dunkirk, easily topped the box office with $50.5 million.  Though, not Nolan's biggest opening, Dunkirk pulled through expectations as many expected the World War 2 movie to be a hard sell.

Girls Trip definitely beat the odds and came in a surprising second place with $30.4 million. Which left Spider-Man: Homecoming ($22 million) and War for the Planet of the Apes ($20.4 million) in 3rd and 4th.

As for Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets,  it had the unfortunate occurrence to come in 5th with a paltry $17 million.  Valerian's reported budget is around $200 million, so you can bet many investors were very disappointed.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Dunkirk
2) Girls Trip
3) Spider-Man: Homecoming
4) War of the Planet of the Apes
5) Valerian
6) Despicable Me 3
7) Baby Driver
8) The Big Sick
9) Wonder Woman 
10) Wish Upon
$50.5 million
$30.4 million
$22 million
$20.4 million
$17 million
$12.7 million
$6 million
$5 million
$4.6 million
$2.4 million
$50.5 million
$30.4 million
$251.7 million
$97.8 million
$17 million
$213.3 million
$84 million
$24.5 million
$389 million
$10.5 million
$150 million
$19 million
$175 million
$150 million
$200 million
$80 million
$34 million
n/a
$149 million
$12 million



Thursday, July 20, 2017

Dunkirk vs Valerian vs Girls Trip

A few new movies hit theaters this crowded July weekend.

Dunkirk
Hit Factor: Director Christopher Nolan doing a war film.
Flop Factor: War movies don't have as wide an audience as his other recent films.

Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets
Hit Factor: Decent reviews (72% Tomatometer), visually impressive.
Flop Factor: Crowded box office... somewhat niche audience and very expensive (ie: $200 million budget)

Girls Trip
Hit Factor: Positive early reviews (88% Tomatometer). Counter target audience to what's playing in theaters.
Flop Factor: However, it's still a very crowded box office.



My Predictions:

Movie
Dunkirk
War of the Planet of the Apes
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Valerian
Girls Trip
Weekend Gross (millions)
$50
$30
$25
$24
$22





Sunday, July 16, 2017

War of the Planet of the Apes Takes Top Spot with $56.5 million Debut

The third installment of the Planet of the Apes reboot series, War for the Planet of the Apes, easily nabbed the top spot with $56.5 million this weekend.  It's a bit less than it's last outing (Dawn of the Planet of the Apes made $72.6 million), though also getting good reviews.

Spider-Man: Homecoming came in second with $45.2 million... which is just above a 60% drop from last weekend.  It has grossed over $208 million domestically and $347.8 million worldwide.

Some say with Spider-Man's somewhat big drop and with War for the Planet of the Apes slightly coming under predictions is due to sequel fatigue... I think in this case, it's more of an over-saturated market where each of their respective audiences are competing against each other.

It's going to be another tough weekend next weekend, as Dunkirk and Valerian will also take a bit of the same target audience.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) War of the Planet of the Apes
2) Spider-Man: Homecoming
3) Despicable Me 3
4) Baby Driver
5) The Big Sick 
6) Wonder Woman
7) Wish Upon
8) Cars 3
9) Transformers: The Last Knight 
10) The House
$56.5 million
$45.2 million
$18.9 million
$8.8 million
$7.6 million
$6.9 million
$5.6 million
$3.2 million
$2.8 million
$1.8 million
$56.5 million
$208.3 million
$188 million
$73.2 million
$16 million
$380.7 million
$5.6 million
$140 million
$124.9 million
$23 million
$150 million
$175 million
$80 million
$34 million
n/a
$149 million
$12 million
$175 million
$217 million
$40 million



Thursday, July 13, 2017

War of the Planet of the Apes vs Spider-Man: Homecoming

Can the latest installment of the Apes franchise dethrone Spider-Man from the top of the box office?

War of the Planet of the Apes
Hit Factor: Positive reviews (93% Tomatometer), consistently strong franchise.
Flop Factor: Crowded box office.
Photo:


Wish Upon
Hit Factor: Low-budget Horror flick
Flop Factor: very crowded box office.
Photo:




My Predictions:

Movie
War of the Planet of the Apes
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Despicable Me 3
Baby Driver
Wonder Woman 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$65
$62
$15
$8
$6





Sunday, July 9, 2017

Spider-Man: Homecoming Swings to the Top with $117 Million


Marvel and Sony's Spider-Man: Homecoming easily claimed the top spot at the box office this weekend with $117 million. Despite being the third incarnation of the superhero in a decade and a half, Sony's inclusion into the Marvel Cinematic Universe was a much needed boon for the veteran web slinger. Spider-Man: Homecoming has made over $257 million worldwide, so far.

In other news, as Transformers: The Last Knight continues to stumble stateside it has grossed over $375.7 overseas for a grand worldwide total of $494.6 million.  Almost $200 million of that gross comes from China alone.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Spider-Man: Homecoming
2) Despicable Me 3
3) Baby Driver
4) Wonder Woman
5) Transformers: The Last Knight 
6) Cars 3
7) The House 
8) The Big Sick
9) 47 Meters Down
10) The Beguiled
$117 million
$34 million
$12.8 million
$10.1 million
$6.3 million
$5.6 million
$4.8 million
$3.7 million
$2.8 million
$2.1 million
$117 million
$149.2 million
$56.9 million
$368.8 million
$118.9 million
$133 million
$18.6 million
$6.9 million
$38.5 million
$7.4 million
$175 million
$80 million
$34 million
$149 million
$217 million
$175 million
$40 million
$7 million
$5 million
$10 million

Thursday, July 6, 2017

Spider-Man: Homecoming vs Despicable Me 3

Only one new movie opens in wide release this July weekend.

Spider-Man: Homecoming
Hit Factor: Spidey's home in the Marvel universe with glowing reviews! (92% Tomatometer)
Flop Factor: Perhaps too many Spiderman movies?
Photo:



My Predictions:

Movie
Spider-man: Homecoming
Despicable Me 3
Baby Driver
Wonder Woman
Transformers: The Last Knight  
Weekend Gross (millions)
$115
$36
$15
$10
$8





Sunday, July 2, 2017

Despicable Me 3 Tops Box Office with $75 million


The third installment of the Despicable Me series (though, 4th of the universe), easily topped the box office this weekend ($75.4 million). However, it's a bit down from Despicable Me 2's $83.5 million and even the Minions' spinoff debut of $115.7 million, which came out in 2013 and 2015 respectively. Despicable Me 3 has already grossed $117 million overseas for an early worldwide total of $192.3 million.

In somewhat surprising news amidst all these sequel fatigued movies in the States, is that the critically acclaimed non-franchise action flick, Baby Driver, debuted to a strong $21 million. It bested Transformers: The Last Knight's second weekend (for second place) as it continues to fall domestically (62% over last weekend), slipping to third with $17 million. It will definitely become the lowest grossing of the franchise (domestically) outside of the animated movie from the 80s of course.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Despicable Me 3 
2) Baby Driver
3) Transformers: The Last Knight
4) Wonder Woman
5) Cars 3
6) The House
7) The Beguiled  
8) The Mummy
9) Pirates of the Caribbean 5
10) All Eyez on Me 
$75.4 million
$21 million
$17 million
$16.1 million
$9.5 million
$9 million
$3.3 million
$2.8 million
$2.4 million
$1.9 million
$75.4 million
$30 million
$103.1 million
$346.6 million
$120.7 million
$9 million
$3.6 million
$74.5 million
$165.5 million
$42.7 million
$75 million
$34 million
$217 million
$149 million
$175 million
$40 million
$10 million
$125 million
$230 million
$40 million