Thursday, July 20, 2017

Dunkirk vs Valerian vs Girls Trip

A few new movies hit theaters this crowded July weekend.

Dunkirk
Hit Factor: Director Christopher Nolan doing a war film.
Flop Factor: War movies don't have as wide an audience as his other recent films.

Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets
Hit Factor: Decent reviews (72% Tomatometer), visually impressive.
Flop Factor: Crowded box office... somewhat niche audience and very expensive (ie: $200 million budget)

Girls Trip
Hit Factor: Positive early reviews (88% Tomatometer). Counter target audience to what's playing in theaters.
Flop Factor: However, it's still a very crowded box office.



My Predictions:

Movie
Dunkirk
War of the Planet of the Apes
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Valerian
Girls Trip
Weekend Gross (millions)
$50
$30
$25
$24
$22





Sunday, July 16, 2017

War of the Planet of the Apes Takes Top Spot with $56.5 million Debut

The third installment of the Planet of the Apes reboot series, War for the Planet of the Apes, easily nabbed the top spot with $56.5 million this weekend.  It's a bit less than it's last outing (Dawn of the Planet of the Apes made $72.6 million), though also getting good reviews.

Spider-Man: Homecoming came in second with $45.2 million... which is just above a 60% drop from last weekend.  It has grossed over $208 million domestically and $347.8 million worldwide.

Some say with Spider-Man's somewhat big drop and with War for the Planet of the Apes slightly coming under predictions is due to sequel fatigue... I think in this case, it's more of an over-saturated market where each of their respective audiences are competing against each other.

It's going to be another tough weekend next weekend, as Dunkirk and Valerian will also take a bit of the same target audience.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) War of the Planet of the Apes
2) Spider-Man: Homecoming
3) Despicable Me 3
4) Baby Driver
5) The Big Sick 
6) Wonder Woman
7) Wish Upon
8) Cars 3
9) Transformers: The Last Knight 
10) The House
$56.5 million
$45.2 million
$18.9 million
$8.8 million
$7.6 million
$6.9 million
$5.6 million
$3.2 million
$2.8 million
$1.8 million
$56.5 million
$208.3 million
$188 million
$73.2 million
$16 million
$380.7 million
$5.6 million
$140 million
$124.9 million
$23 million
$150 million
$175 million
$80 million
$34 million
n/a
$149 million
$12 million
$175 million
$217 million
$40 million



Thursday, July 13, 2017

War of the Planet of the Apes vs Spider-Man: Homecoming

Can the latest installment of the Apes franchise dethrone Spider-Man from the top of the box office?

War of the Planet of the Apes
Hit Factor: Positive reviews (93% Tomatometer), consistently strong franchise.
Flop Factor: Crowded box office.
Photo:


Wish Upon
Hit Factor: Low-budget Horror flick
Flop Factor: very crowded box office.
Photo:




My Predictions:

Movie
War of the Planet of the Apes
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Despicable Me 3
Baby Driver
Wonder Woman 
Weekend Gross (millions)
$65
$62
$15
$8
$6





Sunday, July 9, 2017

Spider-Man: Homecoming Swings to the Top with $117 Million


Marvel and Sony's Spider-Man: Homecoming easily claimed the top spot at the box office this weekend with $117 million. Despite being the third incarnation of the superhero in a decade and a half, Sony's inclusion into the Marvel Cinematic Universe was a much needed boon for the veteran web slinger. Spider-Man: Homecoming has made over $257 million worldwide, so far.

In other news, as Transformers: The Last Knight continues to stumble stateside it has grossed over $375.7 overseas for a grand worldwide total of $494.6 million.  Almost $200 million of that gross comes from China alone.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Spider-Man: Homecoming
2) Despicable Me 3
3) Baby Driver
4) Wonder Woman
5) Transformers: The Last Knight 
6) Cars 3
7) The House 
8) The Big Sick
9) 47 Meters Down
10) The Beguiled
$117 million
$34 million
$12.8 million
$10.1 million
$6.3 million
$5.6 million
$4.8 million
$3.7 million
$2.8 million
$2.1 million
$117 million
$149.2 million
$56.9 million
$368.8 million
$118.9 million
$133 million
$18.6 million
$6.9 million
$38.5 million
$7.4 million
$175 million
$80 million
$34 million
$149 million
$217 million
$175 million
$40 million
$7 million
$5 million
$10 million

Thursday, July 6, 2017

Spider-Man: Homecoming vs Despicable Me 3

Only one new movie opens in wide release this July weekend.

Spider-Man: Homecoming
Hit Factor: Spidey's home in the Marvel universe with glowing reviews! (92% Tomatometer)
Flop Factor: Perhaps too many Spiderman movies?
Photo:



My Predictions:

Movie
Spider-man: Homecoming
Despicable Me 3
Baby Driver
Wonder Woman
Transformers: The Last Knight  
Weekend Gross (millions)
$115
$36
$15
$10
$8





Sunday, July 2, 2017

Despicable Me 3 Tops Box Office with $75 million


The third installment of the Despicable Me series (though, 4th of the universe), easily topped the box office this weekend ($75.4 million). However, it's a bit down from Despicable Me 2's $83.5 million and even the Minions' spinoff debut of $115.7 million, which came out in 2013 and 2015 respectively. Despicable Me 3 has already grossed $117 million overseas for an early worldwide total of $192.3 million.

In somewhat surprising news amidst all these sequel fatigued movies in the States, is that the critically acclaimed non-franchise action flick, Baby Driver, debuted to a strong $21 million. It bested Transformers: The Last Knight's second weekend (for second place) as it continues to fall domestically (62% over last weekend), slipping to third with $17 million. It will definitely become the lowest grossing of the franchise (domestically) outside of the animated movie from the 80s of course.


Weekend Estimates
MovieWeekend GrossTotal GrossBudget
1) Despicable Me 3 
2) Baby Driver
3) Transformers: The Last Knight
4) Wonder Woman
5) Cars 3
6) The House
7) The Beguiled  
8) The Mummy
9) Pirates of the Caribbean 5
10) All Eyez on Me 
$75.4 million
$21 million
$17 million
$16.1 million
$9.5 million
$9 million
$3.3 million
$2.8 million
$2.4 million
$1.9 million
$75.4 million
$30 million
$103.1 million
$346.6 million
$120.7 million
$9 million
$3.6 million
$74.5 million
$165.5 million
$42.7 million
$75 million
$34 million
$217 million
$149 million
$175 million
$40 million
$10 million
$125 million
$230 million
$40 million